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Exponential error bounds achievable by universal coding and decoding are derived for frame-asynchronous discrete memoryless %asynchronous multiple access channels with two senders, via the method of subtypes, a refinement of the method of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Lóránt Farkas , Tamás Kói

Due to their intuitive appeal, Bayesian methods of modeling and uncertainty quantification have become popular in modern machine and deep learning. When providing a prior distribution over the parameter space, it is straightforward to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Ivan Melev , Goeran Kauermann

Chernoff coefficient is an upper bound of Bayes error probability in classification problem. In this paper, we will develop sharp Chernoff type bound on Bayes error probability. The new bound is not only an upper bound but also a lower…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Zhixin Zhou , Ping Li

Two approaches to hypothesis testing, e-value testing and Bayes risk minimisation, both invoke Markov's inequality to control error probabilities. They differ in which distribution certifies the unit-moment condition: the null for Type I…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

In this correspondence, we correct an erroneous result on the achievability part of the R\'enyi common information with order $1+s\in(1,2]$ in [1]. The new achievability result (upper bound) of the R\'enyi common information no longer…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Lei Yu , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar , Ibrahim Issa

Hypothesis exclusion is an information-theoretic task in which an experimenter aims at ruling out a false hypothesis from a finite set of known candidates, and an error occurs if and only if the hypothesis being ruled out is the ground…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Kaiyuan Ji , Hemant K. Mishra , Milán Mosonyi , Mark M. Wilde

We revisit the classic problem of aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts, also known as the Naive Bayes setting. Our quantity of interest is the error probability of the optimal decision rule. In the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Aryeh Kontorovich , Ariel Avital

Consider the problem of identifying a massive number of bees, uniquely labeled with barcodes, using noisy measurements. We formally introduce this `bee-identification problem', define its error exponent, and derive efficiently computable…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Anshoo Tandon , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Lav R. Varshney

A lower bound on the number of uncorrectable errors of weight half the minimum distance is derived for binary linear codes satisfying some condition. The condition is satisfied by some primitive BCH codes, extended primitive BCH codes,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-04-30 Kenji Yasunaga , Toru Fujiwara

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean functions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. We call this approach dissociation and give an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

Bayesian optimisation is a popular method for efficient optimisation of expensive black-box functions. Traditionally, BO assumes that the search space is known. However, in many problems, this assumption does not hold. To this end, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Hung Tran-The , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Huong Ha , Svetha Venkatesh

Generalization bounds which assess the difference between the true risk and the empirical risk, have been studied extensively. However, to obtain bounds, current techniques use strict assumptions such as a uniformly bounded or a Lipschitz…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Itai Gat , Yossi Adi , Alexander Schwing , Tamir Hazan

Error bounds based on worst likely assignments use permutation tests to validate classifiers. Worst likely assignments can produce effective bounds even for data sets with 100 or fewer training examples. This paper introduces a statistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-02 Eric Bax

Minimum Bayes Risk (MBR) decoding is a text generation technique that has been shown to improve the quality of machine translations, but is expensive, even if a sampling-based approximation is used. Besides requiring a large number of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jannis Vamvas , Rico Sennrich

Careful tuning of a regularization parameter is indispensable in many machine learning tasks because it has a significant impact on generalization performances. Nevertheless, current practice of regularization parameter tuning is more of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-23 Atsushi Shibagaki , Yoshiki Suzuki , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi
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