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This paper establishes for the first time the predictive performance of speed priors and their computational complexity. A speed prior is essentially a probability distribution that puts low probability on strings that are not efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-25 Daniel Filan , Marcus Hutter , Jan Leike

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Daniil Ryabko

Occam's Razor tells us to pick the simplest model that fits our observations. In order to make sense of his process mathematically, we interpret it in the context of posets of functions. Our approach leads to some unusual new combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-04-29 William Ralph

Conformal predictors are machine learning algorithms developed in the 1990's by Gammerman, Vovk, and their research team, to provide set predictions with guaranteed confidence level. Over recent years, they have grown in popularity and have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Anthony Bellotti , Xindi Zhao

The Universal Intelligence Measure is a recently proposed formal definition of intelligence. It is mathematically specified, extremely general, and captures the essence of many informal definitions of intelligence. It is based on Hutter's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-03 Shane Legg , Joel Veness

We present an extension to the $\mathtt{mathlib}$ library of the Lean theorem prover formalizing the foundations of computability theory. We use primitive recursive functions and partial recursive functions as the main objects of study, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Mario Carneiro

A sequence $x_1,\dots,x_n,\dots$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, one is required to give conditional probabilities of the next…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-30 Daniil Ryabko

The concept of a universal algorithm is discussed. Examples of this kind of algorithms are presented. Software implementations of such algorithms in C++ type languages are discussed together with means that provide for computations with an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Grigori Litvinov , Elena Maslova

The paper considers quantitative versions of different randomness notions: algorithmic test measures the amount of non-randomness (and is infinite for non-random sequences). We start with computable measures on Cantor space (and Martin-Lof…

Logic · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Laurent Bienvenu , Peter Gacs , Mathieu Hoyrup , Cristobal Rojas , Alexander Shen

Solomonoff Induction is an optimal-in-the-limit unbounded algorithm for sequence prediction, representing a Bayesian mixture of every computable probability distribution and performing close to optimally in predicting any computable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Nathan Young , Michael Witbrock

We discuss various universality aspects of numerical computations using standard algorithms. These aspects include empirical observations and rigorous results. We also make various speculations about computation in a broader sense.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Percy Deift , Thomas Trogdon

A notion of generalized $n$-semimodularity is introduced, which extends that of (sub/super)mod\-ularity in four ways at once. The main result of this paper, stating that every generalized $(n\colon\!2)$-semimodular function on the $n$th…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-15 Iosif Pinelis

Solomonoff sequence prediction is a scheme to predict digits of binary strings without knowing the underlying probability distribution. We call a prediction scheme informed when it knows the true probability distribution of the sequence.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

We initiate the effective metric structure theory of Keisler randomizations. We show that a classical countable structure $\mathcal{M}$ has a decidable presentation if and only if its Borel randomization $\mathcal{M}^{[0,1)}$ has a…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Nicolás Cuervo Ovalle , Isaac Goldbring

We present arguments for the formulation of unified approach to different standard continuous inference methods from partial information. It is claimed that an explicit partition of information into a priori (prior knowledge) and a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-07 Mark A. Kon , Leszek Plaskota

We introduce an infinite set of integer mappings that generalize the well-known Collatz-Ulam mapping and we conjecture that an infinite subset of these mappings feature the remarkable property of the Collatz conjecture, namely that they…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 M. Bruschi

Diagonalization in the spirit of Cantor's diagonal arguments is a widely used tool in theoretical computer sciences to obtain structural results about computational problems and complexity classes by indirect proofs. The Uniform…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Friederike Anna Dziemba

In this paper, we introduce a convergence notion for ordered selections. Our convergence notion is based on subpermutation densities and convergences of the marginal distributions. A particular case of this convergence is the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 B. Fazekas , I. Fazekas

A coarse description of a subset A of omega is a subset D of omega such that the symmetric difference of A and D has asymptotic density 0. We study the extent to which noncomputable information can be effectively recovered from all coarse…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Denis R. Hirschfeldt , Carl G. Jockusch , Rutger Kuyper , Paul E. Schupp

The outcome of all time series cannot be forecast, e.g. the flipping of a fair coin. Others, like the repeated {01} sequence {010101...} can be forecast exactly. Algorithmic information theory can provide a measure of forecastability that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Glauco Amigo , Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Robert J. Marks , Charles Baylis