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Decision theory formally solves the problem of rational agents in uncertain worlds if the true environmental probability distribution is known. Solomonoff's theory of universal induction formally solves the problem of sequence prediction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Marcus Hutter

Inference in expressive probabilistic models is generally intractable, which makes them difficult to learn and limits their applicability. Sum-product networks are a class of deep models where, surprisingly, inference remains tractable even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Abram L. Friesen , Pedro Domingos

Conformal predictors provide set or functional predictions that are valid under the assumption of randomness, i.e., under the assumption of independent and identically distributed data. The question asked in this paper is whether there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Vladimir Vovk

We prove a number of results motivated by global questions of uniformity in computability theory, and universality of countable Borel equivalence relations. Our main technical tool is a game for constructing functions on free products of…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-01-20 Andrew S Marks

Algorithmic information theory studies description complexity and randomness and is now a well known field of theoretical computer science and mathematical logic. There are several textbooks and monographs devoted to this theory where one…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Alexander Shen

The probability distribution P from which the history of our universe is sampled represents a theory of everything or TOE. We assume P is formally describable. Since most (uncountably many) distributions are not, this imposes a strong…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Juergen Schmidhuber

An earlier introduced characterization of nonuniform learnability that allows the sample size to depend on the hypothesis to which the learner is compared has been redefined using the measure theoretic approach. Where nonuniform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Ankit Bandyopadhyay

We introduce a notion of computable randomness for infinite sequences that generalises the classical version in two important ways. First, our definition of computable randomness is associated with imprecise probability models, in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Floris Persiau , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

We study sequential prediction of real-valued, arbitrary and unknown sequences under the squared error loss as well as the best parametric predictor out of a large, continuous class of predictors. Inspired by recent results from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-24 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-19 Daniil Ryabko

Meta-learning has emerged as a powerful approach to train neural networks to learn new tasks quickly from limited data. Broad exposure to different tasks leads to versatile representations enabling general problem solving. But, what are the…

A formal theory of simplicity is introduced, in the context of a "combinational" computation model that views computation as comprising the iterated transformational and compositional activity of a population of agents upon each other.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Ben Goertzel

We bound the future loss when predicting any (computably) stochastic sequence online. Solomonoff finitely bounded the total deviation of his universal predictor $M$ from the true distribution $mu$ by the algorithmic complexity of $mu$. Here…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 A. Chernov , M. Hutter , J. Schmidhuber

This paper's first aim is to prove a modernized Occam's razor beyond a reasonable doubt. To summarize the main argument in one sentence: If we consider all possible, intelligible, scientific models of ever-higher complexity, democratically,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Gabriel Leuenberger

Mutual information I in infinite sequences (and in their finite prefixes) is essential in theoretical analysis of many situations. Yet its right definition has been elusive for a long time. I address it by generalizing Kolmogorov Complexity…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Leonid A. Levin

Generic computability has been studied in group theory and we now study it in the context of classical computability theory. A set A of natural numbers is generically computable if there is a partial computable function f whose domain has…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Carl G. Jockusch , Paul E. Schupp

We introduce computable actions of computable groups and prove the following versions of effective Birkhoff's ergodic theorem. Let $\Gamma$ be a computable amenable group, then there always exists a canonically computable tempered two-sided…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Nikita Moriakov

Reasoning under uncertainty is a fundamental challenge in Artificial Intelligence. As with most of these challenges, there is a harsh dilemma between the expressive power of the language used, and the tractability of the computational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Luise Ge , Brendan Juba , Kris Nilsson

We investigate the use of randomly generated data for the sake of pre-training a model. We justify this approach theoretically from the perspective of algorithmic complexity, building on recent research that shows that sequence models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Peter Bloem

We axiomatize and generalize Markov's approach to the continuity problem for Type 1 computable functions, i.e. the problem of finding sufficient conditions on a computable topological space to obtain a theorem of the form "computable…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Emmanuel Rauzy