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Related papers: Parrondo Strategies for Artificial Traders

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This paper proposes a novel trading system which plays the role of an artificial counselor for stock investment. In this paper, the stock future prices (technical features) are predicted using Support Vector Regression. Thereafter, the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-09 Hadi NekoeiQachkanloo , Benyamin Ghojogh , Ali Saheb Pasand , Mark Crowley

We study a modification of the so-called Parrondo's paradox where a large number of individuals choose the game they want to play by voting. We show that it can be better for the players to vote randomly than to vote according to their own…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-03 L. Dinis , J. M. R. Parrondo

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 B. W. Wanjawa , L. Muchemi

As intelligent trading agents based on reinforcement learning (RL) gain prevalence, it becomes more important to ensure that RL agents obey laws, regulations, and human behavioral expectations. There is substantial literature concerning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 David Byrd

We run experimental asset markets to investigate the emergence of excess trading and the occurrence of synchronised trading activity leading to crashes in the artificial markets. The market environment favours early investment in the risky…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Joao da Gama Batista , Domenico Massaro , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Damien Challet , Cars Hommes

We present convincing empirical results on the application of Randomized Signature Methods for non-linear, non-parametric drift estimation for a multi-variate financial market. Even though drift estimation is notoriously ill defined due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Erdinc Akyildirim , Matteo Gambara , Josef Teichmann , Syang Zhou

Parrondo's paradox is about a paradoxical game and gambling where two probabilistic losing games can be combined to form a winning game. While the counter intuitive game is interesting in itself, it can be thought of a discrete version of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-16 Abhijit Kar Gupta , Sourabh Banerjee

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

We consider a dynamic pricing problem for repeated contextual second-price auctions with multiple strategic buyers who aim to maximize their long-term time discounted utility. The seller has limited information on buyers' overall demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet , Jason Cheuk Nam Liang

We present a modification of the so-called Parrondo's paradox where one is allowed to choose in each turn the game that a large number of individuals play. It turns out that, by choosing the game which gives the highest average earnings at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-03 Luis Dinis , Juan M. R. Parrondo

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

In this paper we explore the specific role of randomness in financial markets, inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in previous applications to complex socio- economic systems. After a short introduction, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda , D. Helbing

Parrondo's paradox refers to the counter-intuitive situation where a winning strategy results from a suitable combination of losing ones. Simple stochastic games exhibiting this paradox have been introduced around the turn of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-20 J. M. Luck

Identifying market abuse activity from data on investors' trading activity is very challenging both for the data volume and for the low signal to noise ratio. Here we propose two complementary unsupervised machine learning methods to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Piero Mazzarisi , Adele Ravagnani , Paola Deriu , Fabrizio Lillo , Francesca Medda , Antonio Russo

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

We propose a model for equity trading in a population of agents where each agent acts to achieve his or her target stock-to-bond ratio, and, as a feedback mechanism, follows a market adaptive strategy. In this model only a fraction of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-14 Misha Perepelitsa , Ilya Timofeyev

We study the dating market decision problem in which men and women repeatedly go out on dates and learn about each other. We consider a model for the dating market that takes into account progressive mutual learning. This model consists of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 C. M. Arizmendi

In this paper, a neural network-based stock price prediction and trading system using technical analysis indicators is presented. The model developed first converts the financial time series data into a series of buy-sell-hold trigger…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-12-29 O. B. Sezer , M. Ozbayoglu , E. Dogdu
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