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In markets where algorithmic data processing is increasingly prevalent, recommendation algorithms can substantially affect trade and welfare. We consider a setting in which an algorithm recommends a product based on its value to the buyer…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-17 Shota Ichihashi , Alex Smolin

This paper explores the effectiveness of high-frequency options trading strategies enhanced by advanced portfolio optimization techniques, investigating their ability to consistently generate positive returns compared to traditional long or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Sid Bhatia

In recent years, machine learning has become prevalent in numerous tasks, including algorithmic trading. Stock market traders utilize machine learning models to predict the market's behavior and execute an investment strategy accordingly.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Elior Nehemya , Yael Mathov , Asaf Shabtai , Yuval Elovici

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Ju-Yi J. Yen

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

In this paper we apply active learning algorithms for dynamic pricing in a prominent e-commerce website. Dynamic pricing involves changing the price of items on a regular basis, and uses the feedback from the pricing decisions to update…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-12 Ravi Ganti , Matyas Sustik , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

We consider the problem of a single seller repeatedly selling a single item to a single buyer (specifically, the buyer has a value drawn fresh from known distribution $D$ in every round). Prior work assumes that the buyer is fully rational…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Mark Braverman , Jieming Mao , Jon Schneider , S. Matthew Weinberg

Autonomous crypto trading systems often spend most of their design effort on finding entries, while exits are left to fixed rules that are rarely tested in a systematic way. This paper examines whether better stop-loss and take-profit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Nathan Li , Aikins Laryea , Yigit Ihlamur

The marvel of markets lies in the fact that dispersed information is instantaneously processed and used to adjust the price of goods, services and assets. Financial markets are particularly efficient when it comes to processing information;…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-19 Stefan Feuerriegel , Helmut Prendinger

Algorithmic stock trading has become a staple in today's financial market, the majority of trades being now fully automated. Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) agents proved to be to a force to be reckon with in many complex games like Chess…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tidor-Vlad Pricope

This paper presents novel results generated from a new simulation model of a contemporary financial market, that cast serious doubt on the previously widely accepted view of the relative performance of various well-known public-domain…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-16 Michael Rollins , Dave Cliff

In feature-based dynamic pricing, a seller sets appropriate prices for a sequence of products (described by feature vectors) on the fly by learning from the binary outcomes of previous sales sessions ("Sold" if valuation $\geq$ price, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Jianyu Xu , Yu-Xiang Wang

We introduce a model of super-exponential financial bubbles with two assets (risky and risk-free), in which rational investors and noise traders co-exist. Rational investors form expectations on the return and risk of a risky asset and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-11 T. Kaizoji , M. Leiss , A. Saichev , D. Sornette

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

We introduce a reinforcement learning framework for retail robo-advising. The robo-advisor does not know the investor's risk preference, but learns it over time by observing her portfolio choices in different market environments. We develop…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-16 Humoud Alsabah , Agostino Capponi , Octavio Ruiz Lacedelli , Matt Stern

We study how AI agents form expectations and trade in experimental asset markets. Using a simulated open-call auction populated by autonomous Large Language Model (LLM) agents, we document three main findings. First, AI agents exhibit…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-21 Shumiao Ouyang , Pengfei Sui

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga
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