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Related papers: Belief Revision and Rational Inference

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Conceptual analysis -- proposing definitions and refining them through counterexamples -- is central to philosophical methodology. We study whether language models can perform this task through iterated analysis and repair chains: one model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Daniel Drucker , Kyle Mahowald

Relative belief inferences are shown to arise as Bayes rules or limiting Bayes rules. These inferences are invariant under reparameterizations and possess a number of optimal properties. In particular, relative belief inferences are based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Michael Evans , Gun Ho Jang

The stability rule for belief, advocated by Leitgeb [Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 164, 2013], is a rule for rational acceptance that captures categorical belief in terms of $\textit{probabilistically stable propositions}$: propositions…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Krzysztof Mierzewski

The notion of argumentation and the one of belief stand in a problematic relation to one another. On the one hand, argumentation is crucial for belief formation: as the outcome of a process of arguing, an agent might come to (justifiably)…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Alfredo Burrieza , Antonio Yuste-Ginel

This paper proposes a unified theoretical model to identify and test a comprehensive set of probabilistic updating biases within a single framework. The model achieves separate identification by focusing on the updating of belief…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-27 Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez

Since there are different ways of axiomatizing and developing a mathematical theory, knowledge about a such a theory may reside in many places and in many forms within a library of formalized mathematics. We introduce the notion of a realm…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Jacques Carette , William M. Farmer , Michael Kohlhase

When engaging in argumentative discourse, skilled human debaters tailor claims to the beliefs of the audience, to construct effective arguments. Recently, the field of computational argumentation witnessed extensive effort to address the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Milad Alshomary , Wei-Fan Chen , Timon Gurcke , Henning Wachsmuth

Commutativity is a normative criterion of aggregation and updating stating that the aggregation of expert posteriors should be identical to the update of the aggregated priors. I propose a thought experiment that raises questions about the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-23 Yuzhao Yang

We are interested in belief revision involving conditional statements where the antecedent is almost certainly false. To represent such problems, we use Ordinal Conditional Functions that may take infinite values. We model belief change in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Aaron Hunter

The capability to reason from text is crucial for real-world NLP applications. Real-world scenarios often involve incomplete or evolving data. In response, individuals update their beliefs and understandings accordingly. However, most…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Bryan Wilie , Samuel Cahyawijaya , Etsuko Ishii , Junxian He , Pascale Fung

Several rules for social choice are examined from a unifying point of view that looks at them as procedures for revising a system of degrees of belief in accordance with certain specified logical constraints. Belief is here a social…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-06 Rosa Camps , Xavier Mora , Laia Saumell

Recent methods have adapted the well-established AGM and belief base frameworks for belief change to cover belief revision in logic programs. In this study here, we present two new sets of belief change operators for logic programs. They…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-20 Sebastian Binnewies , Zhiqiang Zhuang , Kewen Wang , Bela Stantic

Some criticisms that have been raised against the Cox approach to probability theory are addressed. Should we use a single real number to measure a degree of rational belief? Can beliefs be compared? Are the Cox axioms obvious? Are there…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-14 Ariel Caticha

Mathematical proofs are often said to justify their conclusions by indicating the existence of a corresponding formal derivation. We argue that this widespread view relies on an under-examined notion of correspondence, or what it means for…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Simon DeDeo , Eamon Duede

In many real-life situations that involve exchanges of arguments, individuals may differ on their assessment of which supports between the arguments are in fact justified, i.e., they put forward different support-relations. When confronted…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Weiwei Chen

The research on non-prioritized revision studies revision operators which do not accept all new beliefs. In this paper, we contribute to this line of research by introducing the concept of dynamic-limited revision, which are revisions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Kai Sauerwald , Gabriele Kern-Isberner , Christoph Beierle

While belief functions may be seen formally as a generalization of probabilistic distributions, the question of the interactions between belief functions and probability is still an issue in practice. This question is difficult, since the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-10-03 Frederic Dambreville

Iterated applications of belief change operators are essential for different scenarios such as that of ontology evolution where new information is not presented at once but only in piecemeal fashion within a sequence. I discuss iterated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-03-31 Özgür Lütfü Özçep

A principle is modified that underlies the theory of organic fiducial inference as this theory was presented in an earlier paper. This modification, which is arguably a natural one to make, allows Bayesian inference to sometimes have a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-11-18 Russell J. Bowater

We give a semantics to iterated update by a preference relation on possible developments. An iterated update is a sequence of formulas, giving (incomplete) information about successive states of the world. A development is a sequence of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Shai Berger , Daniel Lehmann , Karl Schlechta
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