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A novel notion of unpredictable strings is revealed and utilized to define deterministic unpredictable sequences on a finite number of symbols. We prove the first law of large strings for random processes in discrete time, which confirms…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Marat Akhmet , Astrit Tola

We consider the \mnk{classical} problem of a controller activating (or sampling) sequentially from a finite number of $N \geq 2$ populations, specified by unknown distributions. Over some time horizon, at each time $n = 1, 2, \ldots$, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Wesley Cowan , Michael N. Katehakis

Ensemble clustering has demonstrated great success in practice; however, its theoretical foundations remain underexplored. This paper examines the generalization performance of ensemble clustering, focusing on generalization error, excess…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Xu Zhang , Haoye Qiu , Weixuan Liang , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou , Yuheng Jia

Motivated by applications of rateless coding, decision feedback, and ARQ, we study the problem of universal decoding for unknown channels, in the presence of an erasure option. Specifically, we harness the competitive minimax methodology…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Neri Merhav , Meir Feder

Learning-to-optimize leverages machine learning to accelerate optimization algorithms. While empirical results show tremendous improvements compared to classical optimization algorithms, theoretical guarantees are mostly lacking, such that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We introduce the sequence-set betting game, a generalization of An. A. Muchnik's non-monotonic betting game. Instead of successively partitioning the infinite binary strings by their value of a bit at a chosen position, as in the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-12-23 Tomislav Petrović

Standard conformal prediction methods provide a marginal coverage guarantee, which means that for a random test point, the conformal prediction set contains the true label with a user-specified probability. In many classification problems,…

We analyse the forward error in the floating point summation of real numbers, from algorithms that do not require recourse to higher precision or better hardware. We derive informative explicit expressions, and new deterministic and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

We consider a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $\{\xi_k\}$under a sublinear expectation $\mathbb{E}=\sup_{P\in\Theta}E_P$. We first give a new proof to the fact that, under each $P\in\Theta$, any cluster point of the empirical averages…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Yongsheng Song

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

We consider semi-supervised classification when part of the available data is unlabeled. These unlabeled data can be useful for the classification problem when we make an assumption relating the behavior of the regression function to that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Philippe Rigollet

Standard uniform convergence results bound the generalization gap of the expected loss over a hypothesis class. The emergence of risk-sensitive learning requires generalization guarantees for functionals of the loss distribution beyond the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Liu Leqi , Audrey Huang , Zachary C. Lipton , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Existing error-bound-based analyses for stochastic algorithms that exhibit certain descent properties, such as randomized coordinate descent and randomized projection methods, are often limited in scope and typically lead to overly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Zhichun Yang , Li Jiang , Tianxiang Liu , Man-Chung Yue

This work unifies the analysis of various randomized methods for solving linear and nonlinear inverse problems by framing the problem in a stochastic optimization setting. By doing so, we show that many randomized methods are variants of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jonathan Wittmer , C. G. Krishnanunni , Hai V. Nguyen , Tan Bui-Thanh

The algorithmic theory of randomness is well developed when the underlying space is the set of finite or infinite sequences and the underlying probability distribution is the uniform distribution or a computable distribution. These…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Peter Gacs

A convenient framework for dealing with asymptotic limit problems of probabilistic nature is provided. These problems include questions such as finding the asymptotic proportion of terms of a sequence falling inside a given interval, or the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Michaël Bensimhoun

During recent years the interest of optimization and machine learning communities in high-probability convergence of stochastic optimization methods has been growing. One of the main reasons for this is that high-probability complexity…

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

The Shapley-Folkman theorem shows that Minkowski averages of uniformly bounded sets tend to be convex when the number of terms in the sum becomes much larger than the ambient dimension. In optimization, Aubin and Ekeland [1976] show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Thomas Kerdreux , Igor Colin , Alexandre d'Aspremont
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