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Related papers: Analytical results for random walk persistence

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We study a scenario under which variable step random walks give anomalous statistics. We begin by analyzing the Martingale Central Limit Theorem to find a sufficient condition for the limit distribution to be non-Gaussian. We note that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gemunu H. Gunaratne , Joseph L. McCauley , Matthew Nicol , Andrei Torok

We study properties of a non-Markovian random walk $X^{(n)}_l$, $l =0,1,2, >...,n$, evolving in discrete time $l$ on a one-dimensional lattice of integers, whose moves to the right or to the left are prescribed by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 G. Oshanin , R. Voituriez

We consider a random walk on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree with leaves, where the transition probabilities of the walk are determined by biases that are randomly assigned to the edges of the tree. The biases are chosen independently on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-03 Alan Hammond

Consider a stable L\'evy process $X=(X_t,t\geq 0)$ and let $T_x$, for $x>0$, denote the first passage time of $X$ above the level $x$. In this work, we give an alternative proof of the absolute continuity of the law of $T_x$ and we obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fernando Cordero

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Clément Sire

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of a given outcome out of competitive events. This key observable of random walk theory, historically introduced as the gambler's ruin problem, is well understood for memoryless (Markovian)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-01 M. Dolgushev , T. V. Mendes , B. Gorin , K. Xie , N. Levernier , O. Bénichou , H. Kellay , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing , Rolf Molini

We study the persistence properties of a fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst exponent is a random variable instead of a fixed constant. For each fixed $H \in (0,1)$, it is well known that the persistence probability of an FBM below a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Frank Aurzada , Sabine Müller

This thesis is devoted to the study of extreme value statistics in stochastic processes and their applications. In the first part, we obtain exact analytical results on the extreme value statistics of both discrete-time and continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-24 Benjamin De Bruyne

The theta process is a stochastic process of number theoretical origin arising as a scaling limit of quadratic Weyl sums. It can be described in terms of the geodesic flow and an automorphic function on a homogeneous space. This process has…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Francesco Cellarosi , Zachary Selk

Given a Gaussian random walk (or a Wiener process), possibly with drift, observed through noise, we consider the problem of estimating its first-passage time $\tau_\ell$ of a given level $\ell$ with a stopping time $\eta$ defined over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Marat Burnashev , Aslan Tchamkerten

We study persistence probabilities for random walks in correlated Gaussian random environment first studied by Oshanin, Rosso and Schehr. From the persistence results, we can deduce properties of critical branching processes with offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Frank Aurzada , Alexis Devulder , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

Consider a real Gaussian stationary process $f_\rho$, indexed on either $\mathbb{R}$ or $\mathbb{Z}$ and admitting a spectral measure $\rho$. We study $\theta_{\rho}^\ell=-\lim\limits_{T\to\infty}\frac{1}{T}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Naomi Feldheim , Ohad Feldheim , Sumit Mukherjee

We consider a random walk in dimension $d\geq 1$ in a dynamic random environment evolving as an interchange process with rate $\gamma>0$. We only assume that the annealed drift is non-zero. We prove that the empirical velocity of the walker…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 M. Salvi , F. Simenhaus

This paper studies long range random walks on ${\mathbb{Z}_q}^d$. $X_{t+1} = X_t + Z_t \mod q$, with $(Z_t)$ independent and identically distributed. Multiple entries of $Z_t$ can be non-zero in a transition. An emphasis is on finding the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Robert Griffiths , Shuhei Mano

Let $(\xi_1, \eta_1)$, $(\xi_2, \eta_2),\ldots$ be independent identically distributed $\mathbb{N}^2$-valued random vectors with arbitrarily dependent components. The sequence $(\Theta_k)_{k\in\mathbb{N}}$ defined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Victor Bohdanskyi , Vladyslav Bohun , Alexander Marynych , Igor Samoilenko

Let X be some homogeneous additive functional of a skew Bessel process Y. In this note, we compute the asymptotics of the first passage time of X to some fixed level b, and study the position of Y when X exits a bounded interval [a, b]. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Christophe Profeta

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

In physics and engineering literature, the distribution of the excursion time of a stationary Gaussian process has been approximated through a method based on a stationary switch process with independently distributed switching times. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski
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