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Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

We study the phase transition phenomena for long-range oriented percolation and contact process. We studied a contact process in which the range of each vertex are independent, updated dynamically and given by some distribution $N$. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Pablo A. Gomes , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

Edge-based percolation methods can be used to analyze disease transmission on complex social networks. This allows us to include complex social heterogeneity in our models while maintaining tractability. Here we review the seminal works on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-17 S. Zhao , F. M. G. Magpantay

We introduce the generalized diffusive epidemic process, which is a metapopulation model for an epidemic outbreak where a non-sedentary population of walkers can jump along lattice edges with diffusion rates $D_S$ or $D_I$ if they are…

We derive analytic expressions for the possibility, probability, and expected size of global spreading events starting from a single infected seed for a broad collection of contagion processes acting on random networks with both directed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-27 Joshua L. Payne , Kameron Decker Harris , Peter Sheridan Dodds

Metapopulation models provide the theoretical framework for describing disease spread between different populations connected by a network. In particular, these models are at the basis of most simulations of pandemic spread. They are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-10-12 Marc Barthelemy , Claude Godreche , Jean-Marc Luck

We study the continuum percolation model, which is defined on $\mathbb{Z}^d\times \mathbb{R}$ so that the connections in the continuous directions are not oriented in time, with quasiperiodically disordered fields. The oriented version of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Rajinder Mavi

In an important paper, M.E.J. Newman claimed that a general network-based stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) epidemic model is isomorphic to a bond percolation model, where the bonds are the edges of the contact network and the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

The comb model is a simplified description for anomalous diffusion under geometric constraints. It represents particles spreading out in a two-dimensional space where the motions in the x-direction are allowed only when the y coordinate of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-07-21 H. V. Ribeiro , A. A. Tateishi , L. G. A. Alves , R. S. Zola , E. K. Lenzi

The directed bond percolation is a paradigmatic model in nonequilibrium statistical physics. It captures essential physical information on the nature of continuous phase transition between active and absorbing states. In this paper, we…

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez

In this paper, we examine the long-time dynamics of an epidemic model whose diffusion and reaction terms involve nonlocal effects described by suitable convolution operators.The spreading front of the disease is represented by the free…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Rong Wang , Yihong Du

We discuss attacks and infections at propagating fronts of percolation processes based on the extended general epidemic process. The scaling behavior of the number of the attacked and infected sites in the long time limit at the ordinary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-02 Hans-Karl Janssen , Olaf Stenull

We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first epidemic might have (partial) immunity for the second one.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Frank Ball , Abid Ali Lashari , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

Physical contact or proximity is often a necessary condition for the spread of infectious diseases. Common destinations, typically referred to as hubs or points of interest, are arguably the most effective spots for the type of disease…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ke Feng , Martin Haenggi

We study a PDE model for dynamics of susceptible-infected interactions. The dispersal of susceptibles is via diffusion and repellent taxis as they move away from the increasing density of infected. The diffusion of infected is a nonlinear,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Chiganga Samson Ruoja , Christina Surulescu , Anna Zhigun

The recurrent infectious diseases and their increasing impact on the society has promoted the study of strategies to slow down the epidemic spreading. In this review we outline the applications of percolation theory to describe strategies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 L. D. Valdez , C. Buono , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We consider oriented percolation on Z^d times Z_+ whose bond-occupation probability is pD(...), where p is the percolation parameter and D is a probability distribution on Z^d. Suppose that D(x) decays as |x|^{-d-\alpha} for some \alpha>0.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-21 Lung-Chi Chen , Akira Sakai

We study the temporal percolation properties of temporal networks by taking as a representative example the recently proposed activity driven network model [N. Perra et al., Sci. Rep. 2, 469 (2012)]. Building upon an analytical framework…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Michele Starnini , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

In the past few decades, the frequency of pandemics has been increased due to the growth of urbanization and mobility among countries. Since a disease spreading in one country could become a pandemic with a potential worldwide humanitarian…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-01 L. D. Valdez , L. A. Braunstein , S. Havlin