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We consider a class of percolation models where the local occupation variables have long-range correlations decaying as a power law $\sim r^{-a}$ at large distances $r$, for some $0< a< d$ where $d$ is the underlying spatial dimension. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-01 Christopher Chalhoub , Alexander Drewitz , Alexis Prévost , Pierre-François Rodriguez

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou

Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

We consider cumulative merging percolation (CMP), a long-range percolation process describing the iterative merging of clusters in networks, depending on their mass and mutual distance. For a specific class of CMP processes, which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-07 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We study numerically statistical properties and dynamical disease propagation using a percolation model on a one dimensional small world network. The parameters chosen correspond to a realistic network of school age children. We found that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Nouredine Zekri , Jean-Pierre Clerc

We study some simple models of disease transmission on small-world networks, in which either the probability of infection by a disease or the probability of its transmission is varied, or both. The resulting models display epidemic behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

A class of $d$-dimensional reaction-diffusion models interpolating continuously between the diffusion-coagulation and the diffusion-annihilation models is introduced. Exact relations among the observables of different models are…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Daniele Balboni , Pierre-Antoine Rey , Michel Droz

Spatio-temporal extensions of familiar compartment models for disease transmission incorporating diffusive behavior, or interactions between individuals at separate locations, are explored. The models considered have the character of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Joseph Rudnick , David Jasnow , Jorge Vinals

We study the SIR ("susceptible, infected, removed/recovered") model on directed graphs with heterogeneous transmission probabilities within the message-passing approximation. We characterize the percolation transition, predict cluster size…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Christoph Widder , Tanja Schilling

We study critical spreading in a surface-modified directed percolation model in which the left- and right-most sites have different occupation probabilities than in the bulk. As we vary the probability for growth at an edge, the critical…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 J. F. F. Mendes , R. Dickman , H. Herrmann

The static properties of the fundamental model for epidemics of diseases allowing immunity (susceptible-infected-removed model) are known to be derivable by an exact mapping to bond percolation. Yet when performing numerical simulations of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-16 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We introduce a model for temporally disordered directed percolation in which the probability of spreading from a vertex $(t,x)$, where $t$ is the time and $x$ is the spatial coordinate, is independent of $x$ but depends on $t$. Using a very…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Iwan Jensen

We introduce a dynamical model of coupled directed percolation systems with two particle species. The two species $A$ and $B$ are coupled asymmetrically in that $A$ particles branch $B$ particles whereas $B$ particles prey on $A$ particles.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jae Dong Noh , Hyunggyu Park

A common theme among the proposed models for network epidemics is the assumption that the propagating object, i.e., a virus or a piece of information, is transferred across the nodes without going through any modification or evolution.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-05 Rashad Eletreby , Yong Zhuang , Kathleen M. Carley , Osman Yağan , H. Vincent Poor

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

An upper bound for the critical probability of long range bond percolation in $d=2$ and $d=3$ is obtained by connecting the bond percolation with the SIR epidemic model, thus complementing the lower bound result in Frei and Perkins…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Jieliang Hong

We present an analysis of six deterministic models for epidemic spreading. The evolution of the number of individuals of each class is given by ordinary differential equations of the first order in time, which are set up by using the laws…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-12-25 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We study the stationary distribution of the (spread-out) $d$-dimensional contact process from the point of view of site percolation. In this process, vertices of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ can be healthy (state 0) or infected (state 1). With rate one…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Balazs Rath , Daniel Valesin

The renowned general epidemic process describes the stochastic evolution of a population of individuals which are either susceptible, infected or dead. A second order phase transition belonging to the universality class of dynamic isotropic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Hans-Karl Janssen , Martin Mueller , Olaf Stenull