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We propose a new simple and explicit numerical scheme for time-homogeneous stochastic differential equations. The scheme is based on sampling increments at each time step from a skew-symmetric probability distribution, with the level of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Yuga Iguchi , Samuel Livingstone , Nikolas Nüsken , Giorgos Vasdekis , Rui-Yang Zhang

The present article delves into the investigation of observability inequalities pertaining to backward stochastic evolution equations. We employ a combination of spectral inequalities, interpolation inequalities, and the telegraph series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Yuanhang Liu , Weijia Wu , Donghui Yang , Jie Zhong

We develop a probabilistic characterisation of trajectorial expansion rates in non-autonomous stochastic dynamical systems that can be defined over a finite time interval and used for the subsequent uncertainty quantification in Lagrangian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems can undergo rapid transitions relative to the change in their forcing, for example due to the occurrence of multiple equilibrium solutions for a specific interval of parameters. In this paper, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-12 S. Baars , D. Castellana , F. W. Wubs , H. A. Dijkstra

How to determine the vector of power supplies of a stochastic power system for the next short horizon, such that the probability is less than a prespecified value that any phase-angle difference of a power line of the power network exits…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Zhen Wang , Kaihua Xi , Aijie Cheng , Hai Xiang Lin , Jan H. van Schuppen

We use series expansions to study dynamics of equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems on networks. This analytical method enables us to include detailed non-universal effects of the network structure. We show that even low order…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 M. B. Hastings

This article addresses the weak convergence of numerical methods for Brownian dynamics. Typical analyses of numerical methods for stochastic differential equations focus on properties such as the weak order which estimates the asymptotic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 B. Leimkuhler , C. Matthews , M. V. Tretyakov

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

One of the main unsolved problems of cosmology is how to maximize the extraction of information from nonlinear data. If the data are nonlinear the usual approach is to employ a sequence of statistics (N-point statistics, counting statistics…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-07 Uros Seljak , Grigor Aslanyan , Yu Feng , Chirag Modi

This paper describes an updated exponential Fourier based split-step method that can be applied to a greater class of partial differential equations than previous methods would allow. These equations arise in physics and engineering, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Haider Zia

It is by now established that, remarkably, the addition of noise to a nonlinear system may sometimes facilitate, rather than hamper the detection of weak signals. This phenomenon, usually referred to as stochastic resonance, was originally…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Redouane Fakir

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

We calculate the power spectrum of density fluctuations in the statistical non-equilibrium field theory for classical, microscopic degrees of freedom to first order in the interaction potential. We specialise our result to cosmology by…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-07 Matthias Bartelmann , Felix Fabis , Daniel Berg , Elena Kozlikin , Robert Lilow , Celia Viermann

We consider stochastic dynamical systems defined by differential equations with a uniform random time delay. The latter equations are shown to be equivalent to deterministic higher-order differential equations: for an $n$-th order equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 P. L. Krapivsky , J. M. Luck , K. Mallick

A stochastic differential equation with coefficients defined in a scale of Hilbert spaces is considered. The existence and uniqueness of finite time solutions is proved by an extension of the Ovsyannikov method. This result is applied to a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Alexei Daletskii

We explore the applicability of a stochastic time-evolution algorithm based on probabilistic angle interpolation. To simplify the pre-processing of the algorithm, we take the continuous-time limit, thereby explicitly eliminating Trotter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Tomoya Hayata , Yuta Kikuchi

This paper presents a simplified implementation of the arc-length method for computing the equilibrium paths of nonlinear structural mechanics problems using the finite element method. In the proposed technique, the predictor is computed by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Chennakesava Kadapa

Model-free and data-driven prediction of tipping point transitions in nonlinear dynamical systems is a challenging and outstanding task in complex systems science. We propose a novel, fully data-driven machine learning algorithm based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Daniel Köglmayr , Christoph Räth