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We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear. randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks, prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 I. B. Schwartz , L. Billings , E. M. Bollt

This paper investigates the influence of environmental noise on the characteristic timescale of the dynamics of density-dependent populations. General results are obtained on the statistics of time spent in rarity and time spent in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. Ferriere , A. Guionnet , I. Kurkova

We analyze a class of chemical reaction networks under mass-action kinetics and involving multiple time-scales, whose deterministic and stochastic models display qualitative differences. The networks are inspired by gene-regulatory…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-30 Tomislav Plesa , Radek Erban , Hans G. Othmer

Stochastic models for collections of interacting populations have crucial roles in scientific fields such as epidemiology and ecology, yet the standard approach to extending an ordinary differential equation model to a Markov chain does not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

We study a stochastic linear discrete metapolulation model to understand the effect of risk spreading by dispersion. We calculate analytically the stable distribution of populations that live in different habitats. The result shows that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-12 Satoru Morita , Jin Yoshimura

The Langevin formulation of a number of well-known stochastic processes involves multiplicative noise. In this work we present a systematic mapping of a process with multiplicative noise to a related process with additive noise, which may…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-04-28 Katy J. Rubin , Gunnar Pruessner , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Diffusion with stochastic resetting, instantaneous returns of a diffusing particle to a reference point, creates a stationary probability distribution. The paradigm is extended here to a doubly stochastic protocol in which the resetting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-01 Maxence Arutkin , Shlomi Reuveni

We consider a model for systems perturbed by dichotomous noise, in which the hazard rate function of a random lifetime is subject to additive time-alternating perturbations described by the telegraph process. This leads us to define a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

This paper presents a systematic numerical study of the effects of noise on the invariant probability densities of dynamical systems with varying degrees of hyperbolicity. It is found that the rate of convergence of invariant densities in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Kevin K. Lin

A broad and widely used class of stationary, linear, additive time series models can have statistical properties which many authors have asserted imply that the underlying process must be non-linear, non-stationary, multiplicative, or…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-10 Jeffrey D. Scargle

A new method is introduced to obtain a strong signal by the interference of weak signals in noisy channels. The method is based on the interference of 1/f noise from parallel channels. One realization of stochastic interference is the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 K. Svozil , D. Felix , K. Ehrenberger

We address the problem of long-range memory in the financial markets. There are two conceptually different ways to reproduce power-law decay of auto-correlation function: using fractional Brownian motion as well as non-linear stochastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

We use an effective Markovian description to study the long-time behaviour of a nonlinear second order Langevin equation with Gaussian noise. When dissipation is neglected, the energy of the system grows as with time a power-law with an…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-19 Kirone Mallick

A continuous approximation framework for non-linear stochastic as well as deterministic discrete maps is developed. For the stochastic map with uncorelated Gaussian noise, by successively applying the It\^o lemma, we obtain a Langevin type…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-25 David A. Kessler , Stanislav Burov

We analyze the properties of arguably the simplest bilinear stochastic multiplicative process, proposed as a model of financial returns and of other complex systems combining both nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. By construction, it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , V. F. Pisarenko

The phase diagrams and transitions of nonequilibrium systems with multiplicative noise are studied theoretically. We show the existence of both strong and weak-coupling critical behavior, of two distinct active phases, and of a nonzero…

adap-org · Physics 2016-08-16 G. Grinstein , M. A. Muñoz , Yuhai Tu

The asymptotic regime of a complex ecosystem with \emph{N}random interacting species and in the presence of an external multiplicative noise is analyzed. We find the role of the external noise on the long time probability distribution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Fiasconaro , D. Valenti , B. Spagnolo

A new approach for the analysis of Langevin-type stochastic processes in the presence of strong measurement noise is presented. For the case of Gaussian distributed, exponentially correlated, measurement noise it is possible to extract the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Bernd Lehle

In this paper a stochastic reaction diffusion system is considered, which models the spread of a finite population reacting with a non-renewable resource in the presence of individual based noise. A two-parameter phase diagram is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-27 Carl Mueller , Roger Tribe