Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control
Chaotic Dynamics
2009-11-11 v1
Abstract
We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear. randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks, prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control. scheme that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. The theory inapplicable to a wide range of stochastic processes with underlying deterministic structure.
Cite
@article{arxiv.nlin/0510042,
title = {Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control},
author = {I. B. Schwartz and L. Billings and E. M. Bollt},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:nlin/0510042},
year = {2009}
}
Comments
14 pages, 6 figures