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Previously it has been shown that some classes of mixing dynamical systems have limiting return times distributions that are almost everywhere Poissonian. Here we study the behaviour of return times at periodic points and show that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-04 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

We investigate the effects of markovian resseting events on continuous time random walks where the waiting times and the jump lengths are random variables distributed according to power law probability density functions. We prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 Vicenç Méndez , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Trifce Sandev , Daniel Campos

The presence of self-organized criticality in biology is often evidenced by a power-law scaling of event size distributions, which can be measured by linear regression on logarithmic axes. We show here that such a procedure does not…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-14 Jonathan Touboul , Alain Destexhe

The aim of this paper is to investigate how the correlation properties of a stationary Markovian stochastic processes affect the First Passage Time distribution. First Passage Time issues are a classical topic in stochastic processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-31 S. Micciché

We address the generic problem of extracting the scaling exponents of a stationary, self-affine process realised by a timeseries of finite length, where information about the process is not known a priori. Estimating the scaling exponents…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-25 K. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , B. Hnat

We consider a discrete-time random walk where the random increment at time step $t$ depends on the full history of the process. We calculate exactly the mean and variance of the position and discuss its dependence on the initial condition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Gunter M. Schütz , Steffen Trimper

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of a continuous-time perpetuity and the underlying factors which govern the cash flow rate, in an ergodic Markov model. Two approaches are used to obtain the distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

A generic model of stochastic autocatalytic dynamics with many degrees of freedom $w_i$ $i=1,...,N$ is studied using computer simulations. The time evolution of the $w_i$'s combines a random multiplicative dynamics $w_i(t+1) = \lambda…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ofer Malcai , Ofer Biham , Sorin Solomon

Epidemics unfold by means of a spreading process from each infected individual to a random number of secondary cases. It has been claimed that the so-called superspreading events in COVID-19 are governed by a power-law tailed distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-29 Carles Falcó , Álvaro Corral

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In the setting of non-reversible Markov chains on finite or countable state space, exact results on the distribution of the first hitting time to a given set $G$ are obtained. A new notion of "strong metastability time" is introduced to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-01 F. Manzo , E. Scoppola

We introduce a fractional Fokker-Planck equation with a temporal power-law dependence on the drift force fields. For this case, the moments of the tracer from the force-force correlation in terms of the time-dependent drift force fields are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kyungsik Kim , Y. S. Kong

To know the statistical distribution of a variable is an important problem in management of resources. Distributions of the power law type are observed in many real systems. However power law distributions have an infinite variance and thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha

We derive a systematic, multiple time-scale perturbation expansion for the work distribution in isothermal quasi-static Langevin processes. To first order we find a Gaussian distribution reproducing the result of Speck and Seifert [Phys.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Johannes Hoppenau , Andreas Engel

A recent analysis of empirical limit order flow data highlights the necessity for a more refined order flow model that integrates the power-law distribution of limit order cancellation times. These cancellation times follow a discrete…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-19 Vygintas Gontis

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Statistical properties of coupled dynamic-stochastic systems are studied within a combination of the maximum information principle and the superstatistical approach. The conditions at which the Shannon entropy functional leads to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 E. V. Vakarin , J. P. Badiali

The behavior of stock market returns over a period of 1-60 days has been investigated for S&P 500 and Nasdaq within the framework of nonextensive Tsallis statistics. Even for such long terms, the distributions of the returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-18 Sandhya Devi

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling
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