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The vast majority of stochastic simulation models are imperfect in that they fail to exactly emulate real system dynamics. The inexactness of the simulation model, or model discrepancy, can impact the predictive accuracy and usefulness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-21 Matthew Plumlee , Henry Lam

A novel error measure, referred to as the hysteresis error, is developed from the Crooks fluctuation theorem to evaluate sampling quality in free energy calculations. Theory and numerical free energy of hydration calculations are used to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Matthew A. Wyczalkowski , Rohit V. Pappu

Spectral estimation (SE) aims to identify how the energy of a signal (e.g., a time series) is distributed across different frequencies. This can become particularly challenging when only partial and noisy observations of the signal are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-15 Felipe Tobar

We introduce a new form of density functional theory for the {\em ab initio} description of electronic systems in contact with a molecular liquid environment. This theory rigorously joins an electron density-functional for the electrons of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Sahak Petrosyan , Jean-Francois Briere , David Roundy , T. A. Arias

Nowadays pseudopotential density-functional theory calculations constitute the standard approach to tackle solid-state electronic problems. These rely on distributed pseudopotential tables that were built from all-electron atomic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-03-24 Pedro Borlido , Jan Doumont , Fabien Tran , Miguel Marques , Silvana Botti

Being able to rigorously quantify the uncertainties in reaction models is crucial to moving this field forward. Even though Bayesian methods are becoming increasingly popular in nuclear theory, they are yet to be implemented and applied in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-07-18 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

In this perspective we consider how modern statistical mechanics and response theory can be applied to understand the response of polar molecules to an applied electric field and the fluctuations in these systems. Results that are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Debra J. Searles , Stephen Sanderson

Understanding design principles of biomolecular recognition is a key question of molecular biology. Yet the enormous complexity and diversity of biological molecules hamper the efforts to gain a predictive ability for the free energy of…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-19 Michael Elkin , Ingemar Andre , David B. Lukatsky

Energy-Based Models (EBMs) have proven to be a highly effective approach for modelling densities on finite-dimensional spaces. Their ability to incorporate domain-specific choices and constraints into the structure of the model through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Jen Ning Lim , Sebastian Vollmer , Lorenz Wolf , Andrew Duncan

This short study reformulates the statistical Bayesian learning problem using a quantum mechanics framework. Density operators representing ensembles of pure states of sample wave functions are used in place probability densities. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Yann Berquin

Ensemble data assimilation is a problem in determining the most likely phase space trajectory of a model of an observed dynamical sys- tem as it receives inputs from measurements passing information to the model. Using methods developed in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Density functional approximations to the exchange-correlation energy of Kohn-Sham theory, such as the local density approximation and generalized gradient approximations, lack the well-known integer discontinuity, a feature that is critical…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Martin A. Mosquera , Adam Wasserman

We develop a direct derivation for the primary contribution to the vibrational polarizability for molecules, clusters and other finite systems. The vibrational polarizability is then calculated within the generalized gradient approximation…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark R. Pederson , Tunna Baruah , Philip B. Allen , Christian Schmidt

Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

We derive the general analytical expressions for the statistical uncertainties of cumulants up to fourth order including an efficiency correction. The analytical expressions have been tested with a toy Monte Carlo model analysis. An…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-03-25 Fan Si , Yifei Zhang

When developing and assessing density functional theory methods, a finite basis set is usually employed. In most cases, however, the issue of basis set dependency is neglected. Here, we assess several basis sets and functionals. In…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Daniel Boese , Jan M. L. Martin , Nicholas C. Handy

Ensemble Density Functional Theory (EDFT) is a generalization of ground-state Density Functional Theory (GS DFT), which is based on an exact formal theory of finite collections of a system's ground and excited states. EDFT in various forms…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-27 Remi J. Leano , Aurora Pribram-Jones , David A. Strubbe

Functional data are ubiquitous in scientific modeling. For instance, quantities of interest are modeled as functions of time, space, energy, density, etc. Uncertainty quantification methods for computer models with functional response have…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Devin Francom , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta , Kurtis Shuler , Daniel Ries

This paper employs Bayesian probability theory for analyzing data generated in femtosecond pump-probe photoelectron-photoion coincidence (PEPICO) experiments. These experiments allow investigating ultrafast dynamical processes in…

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