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Spatial models for spread of an epidemic may be mapped onto bond percolation. We point out that with disorder in the strength of contacts between individuals patchiness in the spread of the epidemic is very likely, and the criterion for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 L. M. Sander , C. P. Warren , I. M. Sokolov

Many real networks are not isolated from each other but form networks of networks, often interrelated in non trivial ways. Here, we analyze an epidemic spreading process taking place on top of two interconnected complex networks. We develop…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-04 Anna Saumell-Mendiola , M. Ángeles Serrano , Marián Boguñá

Pathogen introduction in plant communities can cause serious impact and biodiversity losses that may take long time to manage and restore. Effective control of epidemic spreading in the wild is a problem of paramount importance, because of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-15 Ignacio Taguas , José A. Capitán , Juan C. Nuño

In this paper, we focus on susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics on metapopulation networks, where nodes represent subpopulations, and where agents diffuse and interact. Recent studies suggest that heterogeneous network structure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Taro Takaguchi , Renaud Lambiotte

The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime, thus representing a predictor of the network vulnerability to the epidemic. Such threshold depends on the natural history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra

This study extends the SIS epidemic model for single virus propagation over an arbitrary graph to an SI1SI2S epidemic model of two exclusive, competitive viruses over a two-layer network with generic structure, where network layers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-02 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We study the dynamics of epidemic and reaction-diffusion processes in metapopulation models with heterogeneous connectivity pattern. In SIR-like processes, along with the standard local epidemic threshold, the system exhibits a global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vespignani

During infectious disease epidemics, pathogen transmission occurs in host populations made up of interacting subpopulations. Using stochastic simulation and analytical approximations, we examine how outbreak sizes in networked populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Makoto Ueki , Robin N. Thompson , Murad Banaji

The structure of heterogeneous networks and human mobility patterns profoundly influence the spreading of endemic diseases. In small-scale communities, individuals engage in social interactions within confined environments, such as homes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-20 Yusheng Li , Yichao Yao , Minyu Feng , Tina P. Benko , Matjaž Perc , Jernej Završnik

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

Most real-world networks are not isolated. In order to function fully, they are interconnected with other networks, and this interconnection influences their dynamic processes. For example, when the spread of a disease involves two species,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Huijuan Wang , Qian Li , Gregorio D'Agostino , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley , Piet Van Mieghem

The emergence or adaptation of pathogens may lead to epidemics, highlighting the need for a thorough understanding of pathogen evolution. The tradeoff hypothesis suggests that virulence evolves to reach an optimal transmission intensity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-09 Daniel A. M. Villela

We study how the spread of computer viruses, worms, and other self-replicating malware is affected by the logical topology of the network over which they propagate. We consider a model in which each host can be in one of 3 possible states -…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-25 M. Draief , A. Ganesh , L. Massoulie

Epidemic spreading over populations networks has been an important subject of research for several decades, and especially during the Covid-19 pandemic. Most epidemic outbreaks are likely to create multiple mutations during their spreading…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-30 Aviel Ivry , Reuven Cohen , Amikam Patron

We investigate the dynamics of a simple epidemiological model for the invasion by a pathogen strain of a population where another strain circulates. We assume that reinfection by the same strain is possible but occurs at a reduced rate due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 A. Nunes , M. M. Telo da Gama , M. G. M. Gomes

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

The propagations of diseases, behaviors and information in real systems are rarely independent of each other, but they are coevolving with strong interactions. To uncover the dynamical mechanisms, the evolving spatiotemporal patterns and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-02 Wei Wang , Quan-Hui Liu , Junhao Liang , Yanqing Hu , Tao Zhou

We consider an infectious disease spreading along the edges of a network which may have significant clustering. The individuals in the population have heterogeneous infectiousness and/or susceptibility. We define the out-transmissibility of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-01 Joel C. Miller

In contrast to previous common wisdom that epidemic activity in heterogeneous networks is dominated by the hubs with the largest number of connections, recent research has pointed out the role that the innermost, dense core of the network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-04 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras