English

Invasion threshold in heterogeneous metapopulation networks

Physics and Society 2009-11-13 v1 Statistical Mechanics Populations and Evolution

Abstract

We study the dynamics of epidemic and reaction-diffusion processes in metapopulation models with heterogeneous connectivity pattern. In SIR-like processes, along with the standard local epidemic threshold, the system exhibits a global invasion threshold. We provide an explicit expression of the threshold that sets a critical value of the diffusion/mobility rate below which the epidemic is not able to spread to a macroscopic fraction of subpopulations. The invasion threshold is found to be affected by the topological fluctuations of the metapopulation network. The presented results provide a general framework for the understanding of the effect of travel restrictions in epidemic containment.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0802.3636,
  title  = {Invasion threshold in heterogeneous metapopulation networks},
  author = {Vittoria Colizza and Alessandro Vespignani},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0802.3636},
  year   = {2009}
}

Comments

4 pages, 2 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-21T10:15:41.439Z