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A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

We are interested in populations in which the fitness of different genetic types fluctuates in time and space, driven by temporal and spatial fluctuations in the environment. For simplicity, our population is assumed to be composed of just…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Niloy Biswas , Alison Etheridge , Aleksander Klimek

Regime switching processes have proved to be indispensable in the modeling of various phenomena, allowing model parameters that traditionally were considered to be constant to fluctuate in a Markovian manner in line with empirical findings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Filip Lindskog , Abhishek Pal Majumder

We prove a stochastic averaging theorem for stochastic differential equations in which the slow and the fast variables interact. The approximate Markov fast motion is a family of Markov process with generator ${\mathcal L}_x$ for which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xue-Mei Li

We study the statistical properties of the dynamic trajectory of stochastic gradient descent (SGD). We approximate the mini-batch SGD and the momentum SGD as stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We exploit the continuous formulation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Xiaowu Dai , Yuhua Zhu

Stochastic, spatially extended models for predator-prey interaction display spatio-temporal structures that are not captured by the Lotka-Volterra mean-field rate equations. These spreading activity fronts reflect persistent correlations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Uwe C. Täuber

We consider a previously devised model describing Levy random walks (Phys. Rev E 79, 011110; 80, 031148, (2009)). It is demonstrated numerically that the given model describes Levy random walks with superdiffusive, ballistic, as well as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Ihor Lubashevsky , Andreas Heuer , Rudolf Friedrich , Ramil Usmanov

We study the large scale behaviour of a population consisting of two types which evolve in dimension d = 1, 2 according to a spatial Lambda- Fleming-Viot process subject to random time-independent selection. If one of the two types is rare…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Aleksander Klimek , Tommaso Cornelis Rosati

In 2008, T\'oth and Vet\H{o} defined the self-repelling random walk with directed edges as a non-Markovian random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$: in this model, the probability that the walk moves from a point of $\mathbb{Z}$ to a given neighbor…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Laure Marêché

We study the $\beta$ analogue of the nonintersecting Poisson random walks. We derive a stochastic differential equation of the Stieltjes transform of the empirical measure process, which can be viewed as a dynamical version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Jiaoyang Huang

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

We derive a perturbation expansion for general self-interacting random walks, where steps are made on the basis of the history of the path. Examples of models where this expansion applies are reinforced random walk, excited random walk, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Remco van der Hofstad , Mark Holmes

We study a family of memory-based persistent random walks and we prove weak convergences after space-time rescaling. The limit processes are not only Brownian motions with drift. We have obtained a continuous but non-Markov process $(Z_t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Samuel Herrmann , Pierre Vallois

Let ${Z_n}_{n\ge 0}$ be a random walk with a negative drift and i.i.d. increments with heavy-tailed distribution and let $M=\sup_{n\ge 0}Z_n$ be its supremum. Asmussen & Kl{\"u}ppelberg (1996) considered the behavior of the random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

A step reinforced random walk is a discrete time process with memory such that at each time step, with fixed probability $p \in (0,1)$, it repeats a previously performed step chosen uniformly at random while with complementary probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

The aim of the paper is to understand how the inclusion of more and more time-scales into a stochastic stationary Markovian process affects its conditional probability. To this end, we consider two Gaussian processes: (i) a short-range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-08 Salvatore Miccichè

We analyze the stochastic scaling laws arising in the invicid limit of the decaying solutions of the Burgers equation. The linear scaling of the velocity structure functions is shown to reflect the domination by shocks of the long-time…

chao-dyn · Physics 2023-04-10 Denis Bernard , Krzysztof Gawedzki

We revisit the statistics of extremes and records of symmetric random walks with stochastic resetting, extending earlier studies in several directions. We put forward a diffusive scaling regime (symmetric step length distribution with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-29 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We introduce a probabilistic generative model for disentangling spatio-temporal disease trajectories from series of high-dimensional brain images. The model is based on spatio-temporal matrix factorization, where inference on the sources is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-11 Clement Abi Nader , Nicholas Ayache , Philippe Robert , Marco Lorenzi
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