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Related papers: Contagion Flow Through Banking Networks

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Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

We study contagion and systemic risk in sparse financial networks with balance-sheet interactions on a directed random graph. Each institution has homogeneous liabilities and equity, and exposures along outgoing edges are split equally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Riley James Bendel

We propose a novel approach and an empirical procedure to test direct contagion of growth rate in a trade credit network of firms. Our hypotheses are that the use of trade credit contributes to contagion (from many customers to a single…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-08 Natasa Golo , Guy Kelman , David S. Bree , Leanne Usher , Marco Lamieri , Sorin Solomon

We consider a banking network represented by a system of stochastic differential equations coupled by their drift. We assume a core-periphery structure, and that the banks in the core hold a bubbly asset. The banks in the periphery have not…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

Understanding disaggregate channels in the transmission of monetary policy is of crucial importance for effectively implementing policy measures. We extend the empirical econometric literature on the role of production networks in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer

We develop a model for contagion in reinsurance networks by which primary insurers' losses are spread through the network. Our model handles general reinsurance contracts, such as typical excess of loss contracts. We show that simpler…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

A key question in many network studies is whether the observed correlations between units are primarily due to contagion or latent confounding. Here, we study this question using a segregated graph (Shpitser, 2015) representation of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Yufeng Wu , Rohit Bhattacharya

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk, the risk that a substantial fraction of the system ceases to function and collapses. Systemic risk can propagate through different mechanisms and channels of contagion. One important form of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-02 Sebastian Poledna , Serafín Martínez-Jaramillo , Fabio Caccioli , Stefan Thurner

In this paper we consider a mean-field model of interacting diffusions for the monetary reserves in which the reserves are subjected to a self- and cross-exciting shock. This is motivated by the financial acceleration and fire sales…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Anastasia Borovykh , Andrea Pascucci , Stefano la Rovere

This paper provides a general framework for modeling financial contagion in a system with obligations in multiple illiquid assets (e.g., currencies). In so doing, we develop a multi-layered financial network that extends the single network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-24 Zachary Feinstein

Various works have already showed that common shocks and cross-country financial linkages caused the banking systems of several countries to be highly interconnected with the result that during bad times, banking crises may arise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-30 Paolo Di Caro , Giuseppe Pernagallo , Antonino Damiano Rossello , Benedetto Torrisi

We address the problem of banking system resilience by applying off-equilibrium statistical physics to a system of particles, representing the economic agents, modelled according to the theoretical foundation of the current banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-04 João P. da Cruz , Pedro G. Lind

Inspired by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers and its consequences on the global financial system, we develop a simple model in which the Lehman default event is quantified as having an almost immediate effect in worsening the credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Paweł Sieczka , Didier Sornette , Janusz A. Hołyst

In normal times, it is assumed that financial institutions operating in non-overlapping sectors have complementary and distinct outcomes, typically reflected in mostly uncorrelated outcomes and asset returns. Such is the reasoning behind…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-19 Sayuj Choudhari , Richard Licheng Zhu

The study of systemic risk is often presented through the analysis of several measures referring to quantities used by practitioners and policy makers. Almost invariably, those measures evaluate the size of the impact that exogenous events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-13 Luka Klinčić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli , Hrvoje Štefančić

A minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network is introduced, with linear interactions mediated by an integral of recent variations. Defining stress as the variance over the banks' states, the interaction correction to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-30 Andrea Auconi

In the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, interdependencies among banks have come into focus in trying to assess systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-26 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

We propose an interacting particle system to model the evolution of a system of banks with mutual exposures. In this model, a bank defaults when its normalized asset value hits a lower threshold, and its default causes instantaneous losses…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Sergey Nadtochiy , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov