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Related papers: Contagion Flow Through Banking Networks

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This work develops an agent-based model for the study of how the leverage through the use of repurchase agreements can function as a mechanism for the propagation and amplification of financial shocks in a financial system. Based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-23 Leonardo dos Santos Pinheiro , Flavio Codeco COelho

As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-11 Xuqing Huang , Irena Vodenska , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Groups of enterprises can serve as guarantees for one another and form complex networks when obtaining loans from commercial banks. During economic slowdowns, corporate default may spread like a virus and lead to large-scale defaults or…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Zhibin Niu , Runlin Li , Junqi Wu , Dawei Cheng , Jiawan Zhang

We develop a novel stress-test framework to monitor systemic risk in financial systems. The modular structure of the framework allows to accommodate for a variety of shock scenarios, methods to estimate interbank exposures and mechanisms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico , Stefano Gurciullo , Guido Caldarelli

We study the difference between the level of systemic risk that is empirically measured on an interbank network and the risk that can be deduced from the balance sheets composition of the participating banks. Using generalised DebtRank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Alessandro Ferracci , Giulio Cimini

Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Nils Bertschinger , Julian Stobbe

As global financial markets become increasingly interconnected, financial contagion has developed into a major influencer of asset price dynamics. Motivated by this context, our study explores financial contagion both within and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-09 An Pham Ngoc Nguyen , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane

I show the equivalence between a model of financial contagion and the threshold model of global cascades proposed by Watts (2002). The model financial network comprises banks that hold risky external assets as well as interbank assets. It…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-08 Puneet Pasricha , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Selvaraju Natarajan

Geographic dispersion of depositors, borrowers, and banks may prevent funding from flowing to high loan demand areas, limiting credit access. Using bank-county-year level data, we provide evidence of the geographic imbalance of deposits and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Victor Aguirregabiria , Robert Clark , Hui Wang

Natural and anthropogenic disasters frequently affect both the supply and demand side of an economy. A striking recent example is the Covid-19 pandemic which has created severe disruptions to economic output in most countries. These direct…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-06 Anton Pichler , J. Doyne Farmer

We present a network-based framework for simulating systemic risk that considers shock propagation in banking systems. In particular, the framework allows the modeller to reflect a top-down framework where a shock to one bank in the system…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-13 Nadine M Walters , Conrad Beyers , Gusti van Zyl , Rolf van den Heever

We consider a network of bank holdings, where every holding has two subsidiaries of different types. A subsidiary can trade with another holding's subsidiary of the same type. Holdings support their subsidiaries up to a certain level when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-11 Maxim Bichuch , Nils Detering

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the "too-similar-to-fail" hypothesis,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S Sua , Jaime Ortiz , Jinshyang Roan , Bahram Alidaee

In this work we introduce a model of default contagion that combines the approaches of Eisenberg-Noe interbank networks and dynamic mean field interactions. The proposed contagion mechanism provides an endogenous rule for early defaults in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-19 Zachary Feinstein , Andreas Sojmark

We consider a general tractable model for default contagion and systemic risk in a heterogeneous financial network, subject to an exogenous macroeconomic shock. We show that, under some regularity assumptions, the default cascade model…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-02 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Agnes Sulem

In this work we provide a simple setting that connects the structural modelling approach of Gai-Kapadia interbank networks with the mean-field approach to default contagion. To accomplish this we make two key contributions. First, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-08 Zachary Feinstein , Andreas Sojmark

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta

This paper characterises dynamic linkages arising from shocks with heterogeneous degrees of persistence. Using frequency domain techniques, we introduce measures that identify smoothly varying links of a transitory and persistent nature.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

In the context of micro-finance, a group of individuals undertake business projects that may interfere with one another. A contagious default happens if one person's project failure leads to the default of another group member. In this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-01 Héctor Jasso-Fuentes , Alejandra Quintos , Xinta Yang
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