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The minority game (MG) model introduced recently provides promising insights into the understanding of the evolution of prices, indices and rates in the financial markets. In this paper we perform a time series analysis of the model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Fernando F. Ferreira , Gerson Francisco , Birajara S. Machado , Paulsamy Muruganandam

Iterated games are a fundamental component of economic and evolutionary game theory. They describe situations where two players interact repeatedly and have the possibility to use conditional strategies that depend on the outcome of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 Christian Hilbe , Martin A. Nowak , Karl Sigmund

On a capital market the social group is formed from traders. Individual behaviour of agents is influenced by the need to associate with other agents and to obtain the approval of other agents in the group. Making decisions an individual…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-08-19 Ondrej Hudak , Jana Tothova

In social situations with which evolutionary game is concerned, individuals are considered to be heterogeneous in various aspects. In particular, they may differently perceive the same outcome of the game owing to heterogeneity in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-07 Naoki Masuda

We study the equilibrium distribution of relative strategy scores of agents in the asymmetric phase ($\alpha\equiv P/N\gtrsim 1$) of the basic Minority Game using sign-payoff, with $N$ agents holding two strategies over $P$ histories. We…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 Mats Granath , Alvaro Perez-Diaz

Minority games where groups of agents remember, react or incorporate information with different timescales are investigated. We study how their respective gains depend on their timescales for standard models and games with no public…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giancarlo Mosetti , Damien Challet , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We study a multi-agent decision problem in population games, where agents select from multiple available strategies and continually revise their selections based on the payoffs associated with these strategies. Unlike conventional…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Shinkyu Park

A binary game is introduced and analysed. N players have to choose one of the two sides independently and those on the minority side win. Players uses a finite set of ad hoc strategies to make their decision, based on the past record. The…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-24 Damien Challet , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We propose a three-state microscopic opinion formation model for the purpose of simulating the dynamics of financial markets. In order to mimic the heterogeneous composition of the mass of investors in a market, the agent-based model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Bernardo J. Zubillaga , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

We present a formal treatment of the Crowd-Anticrowd theory of Minority Games played by a population of competing agents. This theory is built around a description of the crowding which arises within the game's strategy space. Earlier works…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Hart , Neil F. Johnson

Starting from the Minority Game and building more and more sophisticated models of adaptive agents, we show that minority mechanisms underly any model where agents learn collectively a resource level that can be either obvious and constant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Damien Challet

Game theory has been one of the most successful quantitative concepts to describe social interactions, their strategical aspects, and outcomes. Among the payoff matrix quantifying the result of a social interaction, the interaction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Wenjian Yu , Dirk Helbing

We present a dynamical model for the price evolution of financial assets. The model is based in a two level structure. In the first stage one finds an agent-based model that describes the present state of the investors' beliefs,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-30 Miquel Montero

The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions. Decision-makers would rather not ignore the impact of other…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 Mahmoud Mahfouz , Angelos Filos , Cyrine Chtourou , Joshua Lockhart , Samuel Assefa , Manuela Veloso , Danilo Mandic , Tucker Balch

Participants in socio-economic systems are often ranked based on their performance. Rankings conveniently reduce the complexity of such systems to ordered lists. Yet, it has been shown in many contexts that those who reach the top are not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-30 Federica De Domenico , Fabio Caccioli , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

We study a model of a competing population of N adaptive agents, with similar capabilities, repeatedly deciding whether to attend a bar with an arbitrary cutoff L. Decisions are based upon past outcomes. The agents are only told whether the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 N. F. Johnson , P. M. Hui , Dafang Zheng , C. W. Tai

We study the effects of the presence of contrarians in an agent-based model of competing populations. Contrarians are common in societies. These contrarians are agents who deliberately prefer to hold an opinion that is contrary to the…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-10 Li-Xin Zhong , Da-Fang Zheng , Bo Zheng , P. M. Hui

We consider the dynamics of player's strategies in repeated market games, where the selection of strategies is determined by a learning model. Prior theoretical analysis and experimental data show that after large number of plays the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Misha Perepelitsa

We explore the effect of discounting and experimentation in a simple model of interacting adaptive agents. Agents belong to either of two types and each has to decide whether to participate a game or not, the game being profitable when…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Damien Challet , Andrea De Martino , Matteo Marsili

Modern economies evolved from simpler human exchanges into very convoluted systems. Today, a multitude of aspects can be regulated, tampered with, or left to chance; these are economic {\em degrees of freedom} which together shape the flow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-22 Luís F Seoane
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