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We propose testing procedures for the hypothesis that a given set of discrete observations may be formulated as a particular time series of counts with a specific conditional law. The new test statistics incorporate the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Šárka Hudecová , Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis

Data analysis in HEP experiments often uses binned likelihood from data and finite Monte Carlo sample. Statistical uncertainty of Monte Carlo sample has been introduced in Frequentist Inference in some literatures, but they are not suitable…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-09-28 Shilin Liu , Clark McGrew

The Bernoulli Factory is an algorithm that takes as input a series of i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with an unknown but fixed success probability $p$, and outputs a corresponding series of Bernoulli random variables with success…

Applications · Statistics 2012-04-18 A. C. Thomas , Jose H. Blanchet

Multilevel Splitting methods, also called Sequential Monte-Carlo or \emph{Subset Simulation}, are widely used methods for estimating extreme probabilities of the form $P[S(\mathbf{U}) > q]$ where $S$ is a deterministic real-valued function…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-06 Clément Walter

Large particle systems are often described by high-dimensional (linear) kinetic equations that are simulated using Monte Carlo methods for which the asymptotic convergence rate is independent of the dimensionality. Even though the…

I propose a new algorithm, a free energy Monte Carlo algorithm, for calculations where conventional Monte Carlo simulations struggle with ergodicity problems. The simplest version of the proposed algorithm allows for the determination of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Thill

We investigate reversibility violations in the Hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm. Those violations are inevitable when computers with finite numerical precision are being used. In SU(2) gauge theory, we study the dependence of observables on the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-03-14 Carsten Urbach

Quantum random number generators can provide genuine randomness by appealing to the fundamental principles of quantum mechanics. In general, a physical generator contains two parts---a randomness source and its readout. The source is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-01 Zhu Cao , Hongyi Zhou , Xiao Yuan , Xiongfeng Ma

Hypothesis tests calibrated by (re)sampling methods (such as permutation, rank and bootstrap tests) are useful tools for statistical analysis, at the computational cost of requiring Monte-Carlo sampling for calibration. It is common and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro

Random numbers are an important resource for applications such as numerical simulation and secure communication. However, it is difficult to certify whether a physical random number generator is truly unpredictable. Here, we exploit the…

In various high-energy physics contexts, such as neutrino-oscillation experiments, several assumptions underlying the typical asymptotic confidence interval construction are violated, such that one has to resort to computationally expensive…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-05-09 Lukas Berns

Rare events are events that are expected to occur infrequently, or more technically, those that have low probabilities (say, order of $10^{-3}$ or less) of occurring according to a probability model. In the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-21 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

The present work addresses the question how sampling algorithms for commonly applied copula models can be adapted to account for quasi-random numbers. Besides sampling methods such as the conditional distribution method (based on a…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-15 Mathieu Cambou , Marius Hofert , Christiane Lemieux

Certified randomness guaranteed to be unpredictable by adversaries is central to information security. The fundamental randomness inherent in quantum physics makes certification possible from devices that are only weakly characterised, i.e.…

We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini

Random number generation plays a vital role in cryptographic systems and computational applications, where uniformity, unpredictability, and robustness are essential. This paper presents the Entropy Mixing Network (EMN), a novel hybrid…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Mohamed Aly Bouke , Omar Imhemmed Alramli , Azizol Abdullah , Nur Izura Udzir , Normalia Samian , Mohamed Othman , Zurina Mohd Hanapi

An increase in theoretical precision of Monte Carlo event generators is typically accompanied by an increased need for computational resources. One major obstacle are negative weighted events, which appear in Monte Carlo simulations with…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-10-29 Katharina Danziger , Stefan Höche , Frank Siegert

This article presents a new class of Pseudorandom Number Generators. The generators are based on traversing a n-cube where a Balanced Hamiltonian Cycle has been removed. The construction of such generators is automatic for small number of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Jean-François Couchot , Pierre-Cyrille Heam , Christophe Guyeux , Qianxue Wang , Jacques M. Bahi

Random numbers are a fundamental resource in science and engineering with important applications in simulation and cryptography. The inherent randomness at the core of quantum mechanics makes quantum systems a perfect source of entropy.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-02-28 Miguel Herrero-Collantes , Juan Carlos Garcia-Escartin

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin