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Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-04-14 Jaan Kalda

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-03-05 Indrek Mandre , Jaan Kalda

A new concept, called balanced estimator of diffusion entropy, is proposed to detect scalings in short time series. The effectiveness of the method is verified by means of a large number of artificial fractional Brownian motions. It is used…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-15 Jingzhao Qi , Huijie Yang

Thermal or finite-size scaling analyses of importance sampling Monte Carlo time series in the vicinity of phase transition points often combine different estimates for the same quantity, such as a critical exponent, with the intent to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-08 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimation of the tail exponent in financial stock markets. We begin the study with the finite sample behavior of the Hill estimator under {\alpha}-stable distributions. Using large Monte Carlo…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-24 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

This paper provides extensions of the work on subsampling by Bertail et al. (2004) for strongly mixing case to weakly dependent case by application of the results of Doukhan and Louhichi (1999). We investigate properties of smooth and rough…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Paul Doukhan , Silika Prohl , Christian Y. Robert

We propose a scaling hypothesis for pattern-forming systems in which modulation of the order parameter results from the competition between a short-ranged interaction and a long-ranged interaction decaying with some power $\alpha$ of the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-01-17 O. Portmann , A. Goelzer , N. Saratz , O. V. Billoni , D. Pescia , A. Vindigni

The assessment of risk based on historical data faces many challenges, in particular due to the limited amount of available data, lack of stationarity, and heavy tails. While estimation on a short-term horizon for less extreme percentiles…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-12 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt , Łukasz Stettner

A measure of primal importance for capturing the serial dependence of a stationary time series at extreme levels is provided by the limiting cluster size distribution. New estimators based on a blocks declustering scheme are proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

In real-world applications, observations are often constrained to a small fraction of a system. Such spatial subsampling can be caused by the inaccessibility or the sheer size of the system, and cannot be overcome by longer sampling.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-02 Anna Levina , Viola Priesemann

We study the problem of parameter estimation for time-series possessing two, widely separated, characteristic time scales. The aim is to understand situations where it is desirable to fit a homogenized singlescale model to such multiscale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-11 G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Current methods for determining whether a time series exhibits fractal structure (FS) rely on subjective assessments on estimators of the Hurst exponent (H). Here, I introduce the Bayesian Assessment of Scaling, an analytical framework for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Fermín Moscoso del Prado Martín

We discuss the methods to calculate the roughness exponent alpha and the dynamic exponent z from the scaling properties of the local roughness, which is frequently used in the analysis of experimental data. Through numerical simulations, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Anna Chame , F. D. A. Aarão Reis

Data-collapse is a way of establishing scaling and extracting associated exponents in problems showing self-similar or self-affine characteristics as e.g. in equilibrium or non-equilibrium phase transitions, in critical phases, in dynamics…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Somendra M. Bhattacharjee , Flavio Seno

The purpose of this paper is to indicate that the recently proposed Momentum fractional least mean squares (mFLMS) algorithm has some serious flaws in its design and analysis. Our apprehensions are based on the evidence we found in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Shujaat Khan , Imran Naseem , Alishba Sadiq , Jawwad Ahmad , Muhammad Moinuddin

Data series generated by complex systems exhibit fluctuations on many time scales and/or broad distributions of the values. In both equilibrium and non-equilibrium situations, the natural fluctuations are often found to follow a scaling…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher
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