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We study a scenario under which variable step random walks give anomalous statistics. We begin by analyzing the Martingale Central Limit Theorem to find a sufficient condition for the limit distribution to be non-Gaussian. We note that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gemunu H. Gunaratne , Joseph L. McCauley , Matthew Nicol , Andrei Torok

We consider a one-dimensional Brownian motion of fixed duration $T$. Using a path-integral technique, we compute exactly the probability distribution of the difference $\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}$ between the time $t_{\min}$ of the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-13 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Expected urban population doubling calls for a compelling theory of the city. Random walks and diffusions defined on spatial city graphs spot hidden areas of geographical isolation in the urban landscape going downhill. First--passage time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-02 Ph. Blanchard , D. Volchenkov

Random walks are ubiquitous in the sciences, and they are interesting from both theoretical and practical perspectives. They are one of the most fundamental types of stochastic processes; can be used to model numerous phenomena, including…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-13 Naoki Masuda , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

A simple random walk on a graph is a sequence of movements from one vertex to another where at each step an edge is chosen uniformly at random from the set of edges incident on the current vertex, and then transitioned to next vertex.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Mohammed Abdullah

A new model for stock price fluctuations is proposed, based upon an analogy with the motion of tracers in Gaussian random fields, as used in turbulent dispersion models and in studies of transport in dynamically disordered media. Analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 James P. Gleeson

We present analytical results for the distribution of cover times of random walks (RWs) on random regular graphs consisting of $N$ nodes of degree $c$ ($c \ge 3$). Starting from a random initial node at time $t=1$, at each time step $t \ge…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-12-22 Ido Tishby , Ofer Biham , Eytan Katzav

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

We model continuous-time information flows generated by a number of information sources that switch on and off at random times. By modulating a multi-dimensional L\'evy random bridge over a random point field, our framework relates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Edward Hoyle , Andrea Macrina , Levent A. Mengütürk

Recently, in ["The coin-turning walk and its scaling limit", Electronic Journal of Probability, 25 (2020)], the ``coin-turning walk'' was introduced on ${\mathbb Z}$. It is a non-Markovian process where the steps form a (possibly)…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Janos Englander , Stanislav Volkov

The "Money Exchange Model" is a type of agent-based simulation model used to study how wealth distribution and inequality evolve through monetary exchanges between individuals. The primary focus of this model is to identify the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Hironobu Sakagawa

Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Josep Perelló , Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Jaume Masoliver

We develop two statistical models for space-time abundance data based on a stochastic underlying continuous individual movement. In contrast to current models for abundance in statistical ecology, our models exploit the explicit connection…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-24 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Marc Kéry , Trevor Hefley

A second-order random walk on a graph or network is a random walk where transition probabilities depend not only on the present node but also on the previous one. A notable example is the non-backtracking random walk, where the walker is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Dario Fasino , Arianna Tonetto , Francesco Tudisco

In this paper continuous time random walk models approximating fractional space-time diffusion processes are studied. Stochastic processes associated with the considered equations represent time-changed processes, where the time-change…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Sabir Umarov

We consider continuous-time random walk models described by arbitrary sojourn time probability density functions. We find a general expression for the distribution of time-averaged observables for such systems, generalizing some recent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-10 Alberto Saa , Roberto Venegeroles

The diffusion equation and its time-fractional counterpart can be obtained via the diffusion limit of continuous-time random walks with exponential and heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. The space dependent variable-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-24 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang , Zhuang Xu

The random walk process underlies the description of a large number of real world phenomena. Here we provide the study of random walk processes in time varying networks in the regime of time-scale mixing; i.e. when the network connectivity…

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli