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Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Elizabeth J Cross , Timothy J Rogers , Daniel J Pitchforth , Samuel J Gibson , Matthew R Jones

We propose a framework for the statistical evaluation of variational auto-encoders (VAEs) and test two instances of this framework in the context of modelling images of handwritten digits and a corpus of English text. Our take on evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Claartje Barkhof , Wilker Aziz

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Investigating the dynamics of learning in machine learning algorithms is of paramount importance for understanding how and why an approach may be successful. The tools of physics and statistics provide a robust setting for such…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-12-31 Chanju Park , Matteo Favoni , Biagio Lucini , Gert Aarts

Modern randomization methods in clinical trials are invariably adaptive, meaning that the assignment of the next subject to a treatment group uses the accumulated information in the trial. Some of the recent adaptive randomization methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Alan R. Vazquez , Weng Kee Wong

As a rigorous statistical approach, statistical Taylor expansion extends the conventional Taylor expansion by replacing precise input variables with random variables of known distributions and sample counts to compute the mean, the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chengpu Wang

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

When users can benefit from certain predictive outcomes, they may be prone to act to achieve those outcome, e.g., by strategically modifying their features. The goal in strategic classification is therefore to train predictive models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Guy Horowitz , Nir Rosenfeld

We show that, in spite of a rather common opinion, quantum mechanics can be represented as an approximation of classical statistical mechanics. The approximation under consideration is based on the ordinary Taylor expansion of physical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Andrei Khrennikov

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for samples problem based on the functional empirical process (fep), this new method is called general samples problem. We suggest this method to develop the full theory of estimation of means,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Abdoulaye Camara , Adja Mbarka Fall , Moumouni Diallo , Gane Samb Lo

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

We introduce instancewise feature selection as a methodology for model interpretation. Our method is based on learning a function to extract a subset of features that are most informative for each given example. This feature selector is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Jianbo Chen , Le Song , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We introduce a variational algorithm based on Matrix Product States that is trained by minimizing a generalized free energy defined using Tsallis entropy instead of the standard Gibbs entropy. As a result, our model can generate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-16 Pablo Díez-Valle , Fernando Martínez-García , Juan José García-Ripoll , Diego Porras

Variational methods have proven to be excellent tools to approximate ground states of complex many body Hamiltonians. Generic tools like neural networks are extremely powerful, but their parameters are not necessarily physically motivated.…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-03-04 Agnes Valenti , Eliska Greplova , Netanel H. Lindner , Sebastian D. Huber

We present a method that learns to integrate temporal information, from a learned dynamics model, with ambiguous visual information, from a learned vision model, in the context of interacting agents. Our method is based on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Chen Sun , Per Karlsson , Jiajun Wu , Joshua B Tenenbaum , Kevin Murphy

The principle of least action is one of the most fundamental physical principle. It says that among all possible motions connecting two points in a phase space, the system will exhibit those motions which extremise an action functional.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Christian Offen

We review opportunities for stochastic geometric mechanics to incorporate observed data into variational principles, in order to derive data-driven nonlinear dynamical models of effects on the variability of computationally resolvable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-28 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

Statistical physics courses typically employ abstract language that describes objects too small to be seen, making the topic challenging for students to understand. In this work, we introduce a simple experiment that allows conceptualizing…

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