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Complex systems can exhibit unexpected large changes, e.g. a crash in a financial market. We examine the large endogenous changes arising within a non-trivial generalization of the Minority Game: the Grand Canonical Minority Game (GCMG).…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Hart , David Lamper , Neil F. Johnson

In this paper the extended model of Minority game (MG), incorporating variable number of agents and therefore called Grand Canonical, is used for prediction. We proved that the best MG-based predictor is constituted by a tremendously…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-16 Karol Wawrzyniak , Wojciech Wiślicki

This paper presents a dynamic game framework to analyze the role of large banks in interbank markets. By extending existing models, we incorporate a large bank as a dynamic decision-maker interacting with multiple small banks. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-22 Yuanyuan Chang , Dena Firoozi , David Benatia

The Minority Game (MG), the Majority Game (MAJG) and the Dollar Game ($G) are important and closely-related versions of market-entry games designed to model different features of real-world financial markets. In a variant of these games,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-05-06 J. B. Satinover , D. Sornette

The minority game (MG) model introduced recently provides promising insights into the understanding of the evolution of prices, indices and rates in the financial markets. In this paper we perform a time series analysis of the model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Fernando F. Ferreira , Gerson Francisco , Birajara S. Machado , Paulsamy Muruganandam

We review the recent approaches to modelling financial markets based on multi-agent systems. After a brief summary of the basic stylised facts observed in real-market time-series we discuss some simple agent-based systems which are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Tobias Galla , Giancarlo Mosetti , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The unprecedented access offered by the World Wide Web brings with it the potential to gather huge amounts of data on human activities. Here we exploit this by using a toy model of financial markets, the Minority Game (MG), to investigate…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Paolo Laureti , Peter Ruch , Joseph Wakeling , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We study analytically and numerically Minority Games in which agents may invest in different assets (or markets), considering both the canonical and the grand-canonical versions. We find that the likelihood of agents trading in a given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Ginestra Bianconi , Andrea De Martino , Fernando F. Ferreira , Matteo Marsili

We use the Minority Game as a testing frame for the problem of the emergence of diversity in socio-economic systems. For the MG with heterogeneous impacts, we show that the direct generalization of the usual agents' profit does not fit some…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-20 Miroslav Pištěk , Frantisek Slanina

Ecologists and economists try to explain collective behavior in terms of competitive systems of selfish individuals with the ability to learn from the past. Statistical physicists have been investigating models which might contribute to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Susanne Moelbert , Paolo De Los Rios

TheMinority Game (MG) has become a paradigm to probe complex social and economical phenomena where adaptive agents compete for a limited resource, and it finds applications in statistical and nonlinear physics as well. In the traditional MG…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-04-16 Zi-Gang Huang , Ji-Qiang Zhang , Jia-Qi Dong , Liang Huang , Ying-Cheng Lai

The Minority Game (MG) behaves as a stochastically perturbed deterministic system due to the coin-toss invoked to resolve tied strategies. Averaging over this stochasticity yields a description of the MG's deterministic dynamics via mapping…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , N. F. Johnson

We present a spherical version of the grand-canonical minority game (GCMG), and solve its dynamics in the stationary state. The model displays several types of transitions between multiple ergodic phases and one non-ergodic phase. We derive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Alex Bladon , Thomas Richardson , Tobias Galla

The Minority Game framework was recently generalized to account for the possibility that agents adapt not only through strategy selection but also by diversifying their response according to the kind of dynamical regime, or the risk, they…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Tedeschi , A. De Martino , I. Giardina

We address the question of market efficiency using the Minority Game (MG) model. First we show that removing unrealistic features of the MG leads to models which reproduce a scaling behavior close to what is observed in real markets. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Challet , A. Chessa , M. Marsili , Y. -C. Zhang

This paper gives a critical account of the minority game literature. The minority game is a simple congestion game: players need to choose between two options, and those who have selected the option chosen by the minority win. The learning…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Willemien Kets

Many real-world problems modeled by stochastic games have huge state and/or action spaces, leading to the well-known curse of dimensionality. The complexity of the analysis of large-scale systems is dramatically reduced by exploiting mean…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 H. Tembine

A stochastic modification of Conway's cellular automaton "Life" is introduced here. Any cell could be perturbed spontaneously to the opposite (dead or alive) state at any iteration with a very low probability. This probability is assumed to…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2025-03-26 Raimundas Vidunas , Arnas Vaicekauskas

We partially modify the rules of the Minority Game (MG) by introducing some degree of local information in the game, which is only available for some agents, called the interacting agents. Our work shows that, for small values of the new…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Ines Caridi , Horacio Ceva

The Minority Game is a simple model for the collective behavior of agents in an idealized situation where they have to compete through adaptation for a finite resource. This review summarizes the statistical mechanics community efforts to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Esteban Moro
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