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Related papers: Stochastic volatility and leverage effect

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A common belief is that leveraged ETFs (LETFs) suffer long-term performance decay due to \emph{volatility drag}. We show that this view is incomplete: LETF performance depends fundamentally on return autocorrelation and return dynamics. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-30 Chung-Han Hsieh , Jow-Ran Chang , Hui Hsiang Chen

In an efficient stock market, the returns and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modeled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the defining…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

We tackle the calibration of the so-called Stochastic-Local Volatility (SLV) model. This is the class of financial models that combines the local and stochastic volatility features and has been subject of the attention by many researchers…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-09 Yuri F. Saporito , Xu Yang , Jorge P. Zubelli

We investigate relaxation and correlations in a class of mean-reverting models for stochastic variances. We derive closed-form expressions for the correlation functions and leverage for a general form of the stochastic term. We also discuss…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-12 M. Dashti Moghaddam , Zhiyuan Liu , R. A. Serota

Econophysics and econometrics agree that there is a correlation between volume and volatility in a time series. Using empirical data and their distributions, we further investigate this correlation and discover new ways that volatility and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Zeyu Zheng , Zhi Qiao , Joel N. Tenenbaum , H. Eugene Stanley , Baowen Li

It is known that the implied volatility skew of FX options demonstrates a stochastic behavior which is called stochastic skew. In this paper we create stochastic skew by assuming the spot/instantaneous variance correlation to be stochastic.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-20 Andrey Itkin

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

This paper empirically analyzes a dataset published by the European Banking Authority. Our main aim was to study how the Leverage Ratio is affected by adverse financial scenarios. This was be followed by observing how Leverage Ratio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-27 Jatin Dhingra , Kartikeya Singh , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model presented recently by Ivancevic is investigated, which generates a leverage effect, i.e., stock volatility is (negatively) correlated to stock returns, and can be regarded as a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Zhenya Yan

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

In this paper, we explore some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market using the BTC-USD exchange rate time series of historical intraday data from 2013 to 2020. Bitcoin presents some very peculiar idiosyncrasies, like the absence of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 F. N. M. de Sousa Filho , J. N. Silva , M. A. Bertella , E. Brigatti

Pricing and hedging exotic options using local stochastic volatility models drew a serious attention within the last decade, and nowadays became almost a standard approach to this problem. In this paper we show how this framework could be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-24 Andrey Itkin

We present a multivariate stochastic volatility model with leverage, which is flexible enough to recapture the individual dynamics as well as the interdependencies between several assets while still being highly analytically tractable.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-23 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Oliver Pfaffel , Robert Stelzer

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Christoph Aymanns , J. Doyne Farmer

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We revisit the index leverage effect, that can be decomposed into a volatility effect and a correlation effect. We investigate the latter using a matrix regression analysis, that we call `Principal Regression Analysis' (PRA) and for which…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-29 Pierre-Alain Reigneron , Romain Allez , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

Multivariate stochastic volatility models with skew distributions are proposed. Exploiting Cholesky stochastic volatility modeling, univariate stochastic volatility processes with leverage effect and generalized hyperbolic skew…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-21 Jouchi Nakajima

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

We study the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model and observe that the model shows a multiscale behavior in the volatility autocorrelation. It also exhibits a leverage correlation and a probability profile for the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello