Distributions of Historic Market Data -- Relaxation and Correlations
Abstract
We investigate relaxation and correlations in a class of mean-reverting models for stochastic variances. We derive closed-form expressions for the correlation functions and leverage for a general form of the stochastic term. We also discuss correlation functions and leverage for three specific models -- multiplicative, Heston (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) and combined multiplicative-Heston -- whose steady-state probability density functions are Gamma, Inverse Gamma and Beta Prime respectively, the latter two exhibiting "fat" tails. For the Heston model, we apply the eigenvalue analysis of the Fokker-Planck equation to derive the correlation function -- in agreement with the general analysis -- and to identify a series of time scales, which are observable in relaxation of cumulants on approach to the steady state. We test our findings on a very large set of historic financial markets data.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1907.05348,
title = {Distributions of Historic Market Data -- Relaxation and Correlations},
author = {M. Dashti Moghaddam and Zhiyuan Liu and R. A. Serota},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1907.05348},
year = {2024}
}
Comments
17 pages, 8 figures, 3 tables