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The signal-noise ratio of a portfolio of p assets, its expected return divided by its risk, is couched as an estimation problem on the sphere. When the portfolio is built using noisy data, the expected value of the signal-noise ratio is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Steven E. Pav

In many astrophysical settings covariance matrices of large datasets have to be determined empirically from a finite number of mock realisations. The resulting noise degrades inference and precludes it completely if there are fewer…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 Benjamin Joachimi

Matrix factorization is a simple and effective solution to the recommendation problem. It has been extensively employed in the industry and has attracted much attention from the academia. However, it is unclear what the low-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Farhan Khawar , Nevin L. Zhang

In cryo-electron microscopy, the 3D electric potentials of an ensemble of molecules are projected along arbitrary viewing directions to yield noisy 2D images. The volume maps representing these potentials typically exhibit a great deal of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-08 Joakim Andén , Amit Singer

The classical mean-variance framework characterizes portfolio risk solely through return variance and the covariance matrix, implicitly assuming that all relevant sources of risk are captured by second moments. In modern financial markets,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Yimeng Qiu

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point along this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-21 Alex Dannenberg

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

This paper is concerned with portfolio optimization models for creating high-quality lists of recommended items to balance the accuracy and diversity of recommendations. However, the statistics (i.e., expectation and covariance of ratings)…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tomoya Yanagi , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Yuichi Takano

Using a recently developed method of noise level estimation that makes use of properties of the coarse grained-entropy we have analyzed the noise level for the Dow Jones index and a few stocks from the New York Stock Exchange. We have found…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Krzysztof Urbanowicz , Janusz A. Holyst

Factor analysis (FA) or principal component analysis (PCA) models the covariance matrix of the observed data as R = SS' + {\Sigma}, where SS' is the low-rank covariance matrix of the factors (aka latent variables) and {\Sigma} is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-31 Petre Stoica , Prabhu Babu

This paper introduces a consistent estimator and rate of convergence for the precision matrix of asset returns in large portfolios using a non-linear factor model within the deep learning framework. Our estimator remains valid even in low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mehmet Caner , Maurizio Daniele

Minimum-variance portfolio optimizations rely on accurate covariance estimator to obtain optimal portfolios. However, it usually suffers from large error from sample covariance matrix when the sample size $n$ is not significantly larger…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-04 JunTao Duan , Ionel Popescu

The presence of outliers in financial asset returns is a frequently occuring phenomenon and may lead to unreliable mean-variance optimized portfolios. This fact is due to the unbounded influence that outliers can have on the mean returns…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-28 Aida Toma , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

This paper studies a robust continuous-time Markowitz portfolio selection pro\-blem where the model uncertainty carries on the covariance matrix of multiple risky assets. This problem is formulated into a min-max mean-variance problem over…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Amine Ismail , Huyên Pham

The problem of low-rank matrix completion with heterogeneous and sub-exponential (as opposed to homogeneous and Gaussian) noise is particularly relevant to a number of applications in modern commerce. Examples include panel sales data and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Vivek F. Farias , Andrew A. Li , Tianyi Peng

This study first reviews fuzzy random Portfolio selection theory and describes the concept of portfolio optimization model as a useful instrument for helping finance practitioners and researchers. Second, this paper specifically aims at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mir Ehsan Hesam Sadati , Ali Doniavi