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Social evolutionary theory seeks to explain increases in the scale and complexity of human societies, from origins to present. Over the course of the twentieth century, social evolutionary theory largely fell out of favor as a way of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-02-27 David H. Wolpert , Kyle Harper

This study proposed an exhaustive stable/reproducible rule-mining algorithm combined to a classifier to generate both accurate and interpretable models. Our method first extracts rules (i.e., a conjunction of conditions about the values of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Margaux Luck , Nicolas Pallet , Cecilia Damon

Autocorrelation is a defining characteristic of time-series data, where each observation is statistically dependent on its predecessors. In the context of deep time-series forecasting, autocorrelation arises in both the input history and…

In this paper we present a novel tool to evaluate problem solving systems. Instead of using a system to solve a problem, we suggest using the problem to evaluate the system. By finding a numerical representation of a problem's complexity,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Goren Gordon , Uri Einziger-Lowicz

A method is suggested for treating those complicated physical problems for which exact solutions are not known but a few approximation terms of a calculational algorithm can be derived. The method permits one to answer the following rather…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Stacy Williams , Mark McDonald , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

Predicting dynamic behaviors is one of the goals of science in general as well as essential to many specific applications of human knowledge to real world systems. Here we introduce an analytic approach using the sigmoid growth curve to…

We present a novel approach to modeling market dynamics using ordinary differential equations that explicitly incorporates product competitiveness and consumer behavior. Our framework treats market segments as interacting populations in a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Aparna Komarla , Max Hill

Self-normalized processes are basic to many probabilistic and statistical studies. They arise naturally in the the study of stochastic integrals, martingale inequalities and limit theorems, likelihood-based methods in hypothesis testing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Victor H. de la Peña , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai

Irregularly sampled time series data arise naturally in many application domains including biology, ecology, climate science, astronomy, and health. Such data represent fundamental challenges to many classical models from machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

The method of self-similar factor approximants is shown to be very convenient for solving different evolution equations and boundary-value problems typical of physical applications. The method is general and simple, being a straightforward…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 E. P. Yukalova , V. I. Yukalov , S. Gluzman

A method is developed for calculating effective sums of divergent series. This approach is a variant of the self-similar approximation theory. The novelty here is in using an algebraic transformation with a power providing the maximal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 V. I. Yukalov , S. Gluzman

Correlation matrices are a standard tool in the analysis of the time evolution of complex systems in general and financial markets in particular. Yet most analysis assume stationarity of the underlying time series. This tends to be an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-09-11 Vinayak , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas H. Seligman

Complex systems' modeling and simulation are powerful ways to investigate a multitude of natural phenomena providing extended knowledge on their structure and behavior. However, enhanced modeling and simulation require integration of…

One of the basic frameworks in science views behavioral products as a process within a dynamic system. The mechanism might be seen as a representation of many instances of centralized control in real time. Many real systems, however,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-19 Chulwook Park

We propose a new approximation-technique to deal with the exact macroscopic integro-differential evolution equations of statistical systems which self-consistently accounts for dissipative effects. Concentrating on one and two point…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Herbert Nachbagauer

Mapping complex metadata structures is crucial in a number of domains such as data integration, ontology alignment or model management. To speed up that process automatic matching systems were developed to compute mapping suggestions that…

Databases · Computer Science 2011-08-10 Eric Peukert , Julian Eberius , Erhard Rahm

An autocatalytic pattern matching polymer system is studied as an abstract model for chemical ecosystem evolution. Highly ordered populations with particular sequence patterns appear spontaneously out of a vast number of possible states.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-17 Shinpei Tanaka , Harold Fellermann , Steen Rasmussen

A natural process is defined as an act, by which a system organizes itself with time. Any natural process drives a system to a state of greater organization. Organization is a progressive change, while evolution is expressed in the effects…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-01-09 Atanu Bikash Chatterjee