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We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

Fluctuations of global additive quantities, like total energy or magnetization for instance, can in principle be described by statistics of sums of (possibly correlated) random variables. Yet, it turns out that extreme values (the largest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-18 Maxime Clusel , Eric Bertin

We study the distribution and scaling of the extreme height fluctuations for Edwards-Wilkinson-type relaxation on small-world substrates. When random links are added to a one-dimensional lattice, the average size of the fluctuations becomes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Guclu , G. Korniss

We investigate the statistics of the maximal fluctuation of two-dimensional Gaussian interfaces. Its relation to the entropic repulsion between rigid walls and a confined interface is used to derive the average maximal fluctuation $<m> \sim…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Deok-Sun Lee

Numerical and analytical results are presented for the maximal relative height distribution of stationary periodic Gaussian signals (one dimensional interfaces) displaying a 1/f^alpha power spectrum. For 0<alpha<1 (regime of decaying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 G. Gyorgyi , N. R. Moloney , K. Ozogany , Z. Racz

We explain how the statistics of global observables in correlated systems can be related to extreme value problems and to Gumbel statistics. This relationship then naturally leads to the emergence of the generalized Gumbel distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eric Bertin

Recent work has suggested that in highly correlated systems, such as sandpiles, turbulent fluids, ignited trees in forest fires and magnetization in a ferromagnet close to a critical point, the probability distribution of a global quantity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sandra Chapman , George Rowlands , Nicholas Watkins

The generalized extreme value distribution and its particular case, the Gumbel extreme value distribution, are widely applied for extreme value analysis. The Gumbel distribution has certain drawbacks because it is a non-heavy-tailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-12 E. C. Pinheiro , S. L. P. Ferrari

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

The extremal Fourier intensities are studied for stationary Edwards-Wilkinson-type, Gaussian, interfaces with power-law dispersion. We calculate the probability distribution of the maximal intensity and find that, generically, it does not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 G. Gyorgyi , P. C. W. Holdsworth , B. Portelli , Z. Racz

Extreme value statistics, or extreme statistics for short, refers to the statistics that characterizes rare events of either unusually high or low intensity: climate disasters like floods following extremely intense rains are among the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-11-11 R. Labbé , G. Bustamante

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-12 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal , Gregory Schehr

We derive exact predictions for universal scaling exponents and scaling functions associated with the statistics of maximum velocities vm during avalanches described by the mean field theory of the interface depinning transition. In…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-15 Michael LeBlanc , Luiza Angheluta , Karin Dahmen , Nigel Goldenfeld

We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Pau Rabassa , Christian Beck

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

We study the effects of uniform time delays on the extreme fluctuations in stochastic synchronization and coordination problems with linear couplings in complex networks. We obtain the average size of the fluctuations at the nodes from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-15 D. Hunt , F. Molnar , B. K. Szymanski , G. Korniss

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

We study the statistics and scaling of extreme fluctuations in noisy task-completion landscapes, such as those emerging in synchronized distributed-computing networks, or generic causally-constrained queuing networks, with scale-free…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-09-07 H. Guclu , G. Korniss , Z. Toroczkai

This thesis determines some of the implications of non-universal and emergent universal statistics on arithmetic correlations and fluctuations of arithmetic functions, in particular correlations amongst prime numbers and the variance of the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-15 D. J. Smith
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