Related papers: Markov properties of high frequency exchange rate …
It is shown that prize changes of the US dollar - German Mark exchange rates upon different delay times can be regarded as a stochastic Marcovian process. Furthermore we show that from the empirical data the Kramers-Moyal coefficients can…
The evolution of the probability distributions of Japan and US major market indices, NIKKEI 225 and NASDAQ composite index, and $JPY/DEM$ and $DEM/USD$ currency exchange rates is described by means of the Fokker-Planck equation (FPE). In…
How to distinguish and quantify deterministic and random influences on the statistics of turbulence data in meteorology cases is discussed from first principles. Liquid water path (LWP) changes in clouds, as retrieved from radio signals,…
In this paper we test the random walk hypothesis on the high frequency dataset of the bid--ask Deutschemark/US dollar exchange rate quotes registered by the inter-bank Reuters network over the period October 1, 1992 to September 30, 1993.…
Motivated by empirical data, we develop a statistical description of the queue dynamics for large tick assets based on a two-dimensional Fokker-Planck (diffusion) equation, that explicitly includes state dependence, i.e. the fact that the…
We study the evolution of probability distribution functions of returns, from the tick data of the Korean treasury bond (KTB) futures and the S$&$P 500 stock index, which can be described by means of the Fokker-Planck equation. We show that…
We investigate temporal behavior of probability density functions (pdfs) of paradigmatic jump-type and continuous processes that, under confining regimes, share common heavy-tailed asymptotic (target) pdfs. Namely, we have shown that under…
We show by explicit closed form calculations that a Hurst exponent H that is not 1/2 does not necessarily imply long time correlations like those found in fractional Brownian motion. We construct a large set of scaling solutions of…
Understanding the stochastic behavior of currency exchange rates is critical for assessing financial stability and anticipating market transitions. In this study, we investigate the empirical dynamics of the USD exchange rate in three…
The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…
A stochastic analysis of financial data is presented. In particular we investigate how the statistics of log returns change with different time delays $\tau$. The scale dependent behaviour of financial data can be divided into two regions.…
We present results of the numerical simulations and the scaling characteristics of one-dimensional random fluctuations with heavy tailed probability distribution functions. Assuming that the distribution function of the random fluctuations…
Stochastic resetting is a rapidly developing topic in the field of stochastic processes and their applications. It denotes the occasional reset of a diffusing particle to its starting point and effects, inter alia, optimal first-passage…
Given a positive energy solution of the Klein-Gordon equation, the motion of the free, spinless, relativistic particle is described in a fixed Lorentz frame by a Markov diffusion process with non-constant diffusion coefficient. Proper time…
We show that time-dependent fluctuations $\{\Delta x\}$ in foreign exchange rates are accurately described by a random walk in a complex plane that is demarcated into the gain (+) and loss (-) sectors. $\{\Delta x\}$ is the outcome of $N$…
This paper develops solutions of fractional Fokker-Planck equations describing subdiffusion of probability densities of stochastic dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian L\'evy processes, with space-time-dependent drift, diffusion and…
The shape and tails of partial distribution functions (PDF) for a financial signal, i.e. the S&P500 and the turbulent nature of the markets are linked through a model encompassing Tsallis nonextensive statistics and leading to evolution…
The reduction of a continuous Markov process with multiple metastable states to a discrete rate process is investigated in the presence of slow time dependent parameters such as periodic external forces or slowly fluctuating barrier…
Our purpose is to relate the Fokker-Planck formalism proposed by [Friedrich et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 84, 5224 (2000)] for the distribution of stock market returns to the empirically well-established power law distribution with an exponent…
We study the connection between the parameters of the fractional Fokker-Planck equation, which is associated with the overdamped Langevin equation driven by noise with heavy-tailed increments, and the transition probability density of the…