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To ensure reliable operation of power grids, their frequency shall stay within strict bounds. Multiple sources of disturbances cause fluctuations of the grid frequency, ranging from changing demand over volatile feed-in to energy trading.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Benjamin Schäfer , Marc Timme , Dirk Witthaut

Research has shown banks match interest income and expense betas, and thereby obtain net interest income margins which are insensitive to changes in short-term interest rates. The present analysis extends this research in a number of ways.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Matt Brigida

Recent news cast doubts on London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) integrity. Given its economic importance and the delay with which authorities realize about this situation, we aim to find an objective method in order to detect departures in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-20 Aurelio Fernandez Bariviera , M. Belén Guercio , Lisana B. Martinez

A few characteristic exponents describing power law behaviors of roughness, coherence and persistence in stochastic time series are compared to each other. Relevant techniques for analyzing such time series are recalled in order to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ausloos

This paper examines the degree of integration at euro area financial markets. To that end, we estimate overall and country-specific integration indices based on a panel vector-autoregression with factor stochastic volatility. Our results…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-13 Martin Feldkircher , Karin Klieber

Non-trivial inflaton self-interactions can yield calculable signatures of primordial non-Gaussianity that are measurable in cosmic surveys. Surprisingly, we find that the phase transition to slow-roll eternal inflation is often incalculable…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-05-10 Timothy Cohen , Daniel Green , Akhil Premkumar

We study the work fluctuations of a particle subjected to a deterministic drag force plus a random forcing whose statistics is of the L\'evy type. In the stationary regime, the probability density of the work is found to have ``fat''…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-02 H. Touchette , E. G. D. Cohen

Long memory and volatility clustering are two stylized facts frequently related to financial markets. Traditionally, these phenomena have been studied based on conditionally heteroscedastic models like ARCH, GARCH, IGARCH and FIGARCH, inter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Sonia R. Bentes , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures by the European Central Bank (ECB) conditional on the prevailing level of uncertainty. To obtain exogenous variation in central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

The Interbank Offered Rate is a vital benchmark interest rate in the financial markets of every country to which financial contracts are tied. In the light of the recent LIBOR manipulation incident, this paper seeks to address the fear that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-15 Murphy Choy , Enoch Chng , Koo Ping Shung

We investigate the shape of the Italian personal income distribution using microdata from the Survey on Household Income and Wealth, made publicly available by the Bank of Italy for the years 1977--2002. We find that the upper tail of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-01-31 F. Clementi , M. Gallegati

We propose an approach to explain fluctuations in time intervals of financial markets data from the view point of the Gini index. We show the explicit form of the Gini index for a Weibull distribution which is a good candidate to describe…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue

The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz

We study the continuous time random walk theory from financial tick data of the yen-dollar exchange rate transacted at the Japanese financial market. The dynamical behavior of returns and volatilities in this case is particularly treated at…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , C. Christopher Lee , Myung-Kul Yum

We introduce a tractable multi-currency model with stochastic volatility and correlated stochastic interest rates that takes into account the smile in the FX market and the evolution of yield curves. The pricing of vanilla options on FX…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-13 Alessandro Gnoatto , Martino Grasselli

Single index financial market models cannot account for the empirically observed complex interactions between shares in a market. We describe a multi-share financial market model and compare characteristics of the volatility, that is the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Adam Ponzi

The behavior of stock market returns over a period of 1-60 days has been investigated for S&P 500 and Nasdaq within the framework of nonextensive Tsallis statistics. Even for such long terms, the distributions of the returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-18 Sandhya Devi

Detailed study of multifractal characteristics of the financial time series of asset values and of its returns is performed using a collection of the high frequency Deutsche Aktienindex data. The tail index ($\alpha$), the Renyi exponents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Z. Gorski , S. Drozdz , J. Speth
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