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Related papers: A model for complex aftershock sequences

200 papers

We consider a branching model of triggered seismicity, the ETAS (epidemic-type aftershock sequence) model which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes (``aftershocks''). An aftershock sequence results in this model from…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

We propose a new metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. The metric consists of a product involving the time interval and spatial distance between two events, as well as the magnitude of the first one. According to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

The Internet is a complex system, whose temporal behavior is highly nonstationary and exhibits sudden drastic changes regarded as main shocks or catastrophes. Here, analyzing a set of time series data of round-trip tim measured in echo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We propose a ``multifractal stress activation'' model combining thermally activated rupture and long memory stress relaxation, which predicts that seismic decay rates after mainshocks follow the Omori law $\sim 1/t^p$ with exponents $p$…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. Sornette , G. Ouillon

We propose and study a modified version of the Olami-Feder-Christiensen model of seismicity, that includes a mechanism of structural relaxation. We obtain realistic features of seismicity that are not obtained with the original version,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-08-23 E. A. Jagla

We study the cascading dynamics immediately before and immediately after 219 market shocks. We define the time of a market shock T_{c} to be the time for which the market volatility V(T_{c}) has a peak that exceeds a predetermined…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-05 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Creep rupture of heterogeneous materials occurring under constant sub-critical external loads is responsible for the collapse of engineering constructions and for natural catastrophes. Acoustic monitoring of crackling bursts provides…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-10-21 Zsuzsa Danku , Ferenc Kun

The known Omori law is presented in the form of differential equation that describes the evolution of the aftershock activity. This equation is derived hypothetically with taking into account deactivation of the faults in epicentral zone of…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-04-26 Anatol V. Guglielmi

Here we focus on a basic statistical measure of earthquake catalogs that has not been studied before, the asymmetry of interevent time series (e.g., reflecting the tendency to have more aftershocks than spontaneous earthquakes). We define…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-04 Yongwen Zhang , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

A spatio-temporal version of the well-known Omori-Utsu law of aftershock sequences is proposed. This 'diffusive Omori-Utsu law' satisfies a nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE). A similarity reduction is obtained that reduces the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-11-05 Marianito R. Rodrigo

The emergence of a power-law distribution for the energy released during an earthquake is investigated in several models. Generic features are identified which are based on the self-affine behavior of the stress field prior to an event.…

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

The statistical properties of earthquake aftershocks are studied. The scaling relation for the exponents of the Omori law and the power-law calm time distribution (i.e., the interoccurrence time distribution), which is valid if a sequence…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

130 years ago, Omori formulated the first law of earthquake physics. The essence of the law is that the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically over time. 100 years ago, Hirano doubted the universality of Omori law and proposed a…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-09 Anatol Guglielmi , Boris Klain , Alexey Zavyalov , Oleg Zotov

The analysis of the classical and mirror triads of the sequence of earthquakes has been carried out in order to find the equations of evolution of foreshocks and aftershocks. The differential equation with cubic (quadratic) nonlinearity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

After the main shock of an earthquake the aftershocks are observed. According to Omori's law, the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically over time. We noticed that, strictly speaking, Omori's law paradoxically contradicts the law…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-05-27 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

The paper is devoted to comparing two approaches to the study of aftershocks. The methodological foundations of the traditional approach were laid many years ago. A new approach has emerged relatively recently. The two approaches differ…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 A. V. Guglielmi

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-25 T. R. Krishna Mohan P. G. , Revathi

A part of the seismic time series, in which the Omori law for temporal pattern of aftershocks holds, is refereed to as the Omori regime. Here the properties of correlation between earthquake events both inside and outside of the Omori…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

The relaxation dynamics of aftershocks after large volatility shocks are investigated based on two high-frequency data sets of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index. Compared with previous relevant work, we have defined main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Guo-Hua Mu , Wei-Xing Zhou