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The spatial symmetry property of truncated birth-death processes studied in Di Crescenzo [6] is extended to a wider family of continuous-time Markov chains. We show that it yields simple expressions for first-passage-time densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Annapatrizia Nastro

Consider a Markov process \omega_t at equilibrium and some event C (a subset of the state-space of the process). A natural measure of correlations in the process is the pairwise correlation \Pr[\omega_0,\omega_t \in C] - \Pr[\omega_0 \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-24 Alan Hammond , Elchanan Mossel , Gábor Pete

We consider the change-point problem for the marginal distribution of subordinated Gaussian processes that exhibit long-range dependence. The asymptotic distributions of Kolmogorov-Smirnov- and Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type statistics are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Johannes Tewes

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

In this paper we study coupled fully non-local equations, where a linear non-local operator jointly acts on the time and space variables. We establish existence and uniqueness of the solution. A maximum principle is proved and used to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Giacomo Ascione , Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo , Lorenzo Torricelli

We study the local persistence probability during non-stationary time evolutions in disordered contact processes with long-range interactions by a combination of the strong-disorder renormalization group (SDRG) method, a phenomenological…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-19 Róbert Juhász

We analyse the problem of stability of a continuous time linear switching system (LSS) versus the stability of its Euler discretization. It is well-known that the existence of a positive {\tau} for which the corresponding discrete time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Vladimir Yu. Protasov , Raphael M. Jungers

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

A functional method for calculating averages of the time-ordered exponential of a continuous isotropic random $N\times N$ matrix process is presented. The process is not assumed to be Gaussian. In particular, the Lyapunov exponents and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-05-04 Anton S. Il'yn , Valeria A. Sirota , Kirill P. Zybin

We consider a zero-sum stochastic game for continuous-time Markov chain with countable state space and unbounded transition and pay-off rates. The additional feature of the game is that the controllers together with taking actions are also…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Chandan Pal , Subhamay Saha

The continuous-time random walk is defined as a Poissonization of discrete-time random walk. We study the noncolliding system of continuous-time simple and symmetric random walks on ${\mathbb{Z}}$. We show that the system is determinantal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Syota Esaki

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

A `persistence exponent' $\theta$ is defined for nonequilibrium critical phenomena. It describes the probability, $p(t) \sim t^{-\theta}$, that the global order parameter has not changed sign in the time interval $t$ following a quench to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 S. N. Majumdar , A. J. Bray , S. J. Cornell , C. Sire

This work is concerned with the stability properties of linear stochastic differential equations with random (drift and diffusion) coefficient matrices, and the stability of a corresponding random transition matrix (or exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 David Degras

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Jean-François Quessy , Tom Rohmer

Let W be the number of points in (0,t] of a stationary finite-state Markov renewal point process. We derive a bound for the total variation distance between the distribution of W and a compound Poisson distribution. For any nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Torkel Erhardsson

In this paper, we develop a novel contraction framework for stability analysis of discrete-time nonlinear systems with parameters following stochastic processes. For general stochastic processes, we first provide a sufficient condition for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-11 Yu Kawano , Yohei Hosoe