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This paper introduces a subspace method for the estimation of an array covariance matrix. It is shown that when the received signals are uncorrelated, the true array covariance matrices lie in a specific subspace whose dimension is…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Mostafa Rahmani , George Atia

Matrix completion and robust principal component analysis have been widely used for the recovery of data suffering from missing entries or outliers. In many real-world applications however, the data is also time-varying, and the naive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-25 Charul , Uttkarsha Bhatt , Pravesh Biyani , Ketan Rajawat

We introduce a class of Bayesian matrix dynamic factor models that accommodates time-varying volatility, outliers, and cross-sectional correlation in the idiosyncratic components. For model comparison, we employ an importance-sampling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Wei Zhang

We propose an approach to use the state covariance of linear systems to track time-varying covariance matrices of non-stationary time series. Following concepts from Riemmanian geometry, we investigate three types of covariance paths…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2018-05-31 Lipeng Ning

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We develop a method for reconstructing regulatory interconnection networks between variables evolving according to a linear dynamical system. The work is motivated by the problem of gene regulatory network inference, that is, finding causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 Atte Aalto , Jorge Goncalves

The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportunity to get an insight about several aspects of uncertainties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-12 Giulio D'Agostini

Data for several applications in diverse fields can be represented as multiple matrices that are linked across rows or columns. This is particularly common in molecular biomedical research, in which multiple molecular "omics" technologies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-02 Eric F. Lock

We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay R. Berry , Paul Helman , Mike West

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

This paper considers the problem of estimating a change point in the covariance matrix in a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is substantially larger than the sample size. A two-stage approach is proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-31 H. Dette , G. M. Pan , Q. Yang

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

A major problem in numerical weather prediction (NWP) is the estimation of high-dimensional covariance matrices from a small number of samples. Maximum likelihood estimators cannot provide reliable estimates when the overall dimension is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-13 Robert J. Webber , Matthias Morzfeld

Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

This paper introduces a matrix-variate regression model for analyzing multivariate data observed across spatial locations and over time. The model's design incorporates a mean structure that links covariates to the response matrix and a…

This paper deals with the problem of covariance stabilization for a class of linear stochastic discrete-time systems in the Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework. The considered systems are affected by independent and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Kaouther Moussa , Dimitri Peaucelle

Estimating large covariance and precision matrices are fundamental in modern multivariate analysis. The problems arise from statistical analysis of large panel economics and finance data. The covariance matrix reveals marginal correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-17 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Han Liu

Both Bayesian and varying coefficient models are very useful tools in practice as they can be used to model parameter heterogeneity in a generalizable way. Motivated by the need of enhancing Marketing Mix Modeling at Uber, we propose a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-31 Edwin Ng , Zhishi Wang , Athena Dai

We consider a modification of the covariance function in Gaussian processes to correctly account for known linear constraints. By modelling the target function as a transformation of an underlying function, the constraints are explicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison