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Matrix-Variate Regression Model for Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Data

Methodology 2025-11-07 v1

Abstract

This paper introduces a matrix-variate regression model for analyzing multivariate data observed across spatial locations and over time. The model's design incorporates a mean structure that links covariates to the response matrix and a separable covariance structure, based on a Kronecker product, to capture spatial and temporal dependencies efficiently. We derive maximum likelihood estimators for all model parameters. A simulation study validates the model, showing its effectiveness in parameter recovery across different spatial resolutions. Finally, an application to real-world data on agricultural and livestock production from Brazilian municipalities showcases the model's practical utility in revealing structured spatio-temporal patterns of variation and covariate effects.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.04331,
  title  = {Matrix-Variate Regression Model for Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Data},
  author = {Carlos A. Ribeiro Diniz and Victor E. Lachos Olivares and Victor H. Lachos Davila},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.04331},
  year   = {2025}
}