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Precision radial velocity data for HD 208487 has been re-analyzed using a new Bayesian multi-planet Kepler periodogram. The periodgram employs a parallel tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm with a novel statistical control system.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 P. C. Gregory

A Bayesian multi-planet Kepler periodogram has been developed for the analysis of precision radial velocity data (Gregory 2005b and 2007). The periodogram employs a parallel tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The HD 11964 data…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 P. C. Gregory

We consider the so-called Keplerian periodogram, in which the putative detectable signal is modelled by a highly non-linear Keplerian radial velocity function, appearing in Doppler exoplanetary surveys. We demonstrate that for planets on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-29 Roman V. Baluev

A Bayesian analysis of 47 Ursae Majoris (47 UMa) radial velocity data confirms and refines the properties of two previously reported planets with periods of 1079 and 2325 days and finds evidence for an additional long period planet with a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Philip C. Gregory , Debra A. Fischer

Radial velocity surveys are beginning to reach the time baselines required to detect Jupiter analogs, as well as sub-Saturn mass planets in close orbits. Therefore it is important to understand the sensitivity of these surveys at long…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrew Cumming

I present an extension of the phase distance correlation periodogram to two-dimensional astrometric data. I show that this technique is more suitable than previously proposed approaches to detect eccentric Keplerian orbits, and that it…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-01 Shay Zucker

We describe work in progress by a collaboration of astronomers and statisticians developing a suite of Bayesian data analysis tools for extrasolar planet (exoplanet) detection, planetary orbit estimation, and adaptive scheduling of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-11 Thomas J. Loredo , James O. Berger , David F. Chernoff , Merlise A. Clyde , Bin Liu

Kepler will monitor enough stars that it is likely to detect single transits of planets with periods longer than the mission lifetime. We show that by combining the Kepler photometry of such transits with precise radial velocity (RV)…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jennifer C. Yee , B. Scott Gaudi

We obtain full information on the orbital parameters by combining radial velocity and astrometric measurements by means of Bayesian inference. We sample the parameter probability densities of orbital model parameters with a Markov chain…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. Tuomi , S. Kotiranta , M. Kaasalainen

We use detailed simulations of the Gaia observations of synthetic planetary systems and develop and utilize independent software codes in double-blind mode to analyze the data, including statistical tools for planet detection and different…

The transits of a planet on a Keplerian orbit occur at time intervals exactly equal to the period of the orbit. If a second planet is introduced the orbit is not Keplerian and the transits are no longer exactly periodic. We compute the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. Agol , J. Steffen , R. Sari , W. Clarkson

Kepler will monitor a sufficient number of stars that it is likely to detect single transits of planets with periods longer than the mission lifetime. We show that by combining the exquisite Kepler photometry of such transits with precise…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jennifer C. Yee , B. Scott Gaudi

Studying photometric time series in the frequency domain can serve as a means of detecting rotational modulations, measuring asteroseismic modes and even detecting short-period transiting planets. To our knowledge, there is no prior archive…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-07 David Kipping

By design, model-based approaches for flagging transiting exoplanets in light curves, such as boxed least squares, excel at detecting planets with low S/N at the expense of finding signals that are not well described by the assumed model,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-28 Adam Wheeler , David Kipping

The Kepler Mission is monitoring the brightness of ~150,000 stars searching for evidence of planetary transits. As part of the "Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler" (HEK) project, we report a planetary system with two confirmed planets and one…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 David Nesvorny , David M. Kipping , Lars A. Buchhave , Gáspár Á. Bakos , Joel Hartman , Allan Schmitt

We investigate the role that planet detection order plays in the Kepler planet detection pipeline. The Kepler pipeline typically detects planets in order of descending signal strength (MES). We find that the detectability of transits…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-11 Jon K. Zink , Jessie L. Christiansen , Bradley M. S. Hansen

We explore the detection limits of the phase modulation (PM) method of finding binary systems among multi-periodic pulsating stars. The method is an attractive way of finding non-transiting planets in the habitable zones of intermediate…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-02 Simon J. Murphy , Hiromoto Shibahashi , Timothy R. Bedding

(abridged) We develop Bayesian methods and detection criteria for orbital fitting, and revise the detectability of exoplanets in light of the in-flight properties of Gaia. Limiting ourselves to one-planet systems as a first step of the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-13 Piero Ranalli , David Hobbs , Lennart Lindegren

The Kepler Space Telescope has discovered thousands of planets via the transit method. The transit timing variations of these planets allows us not only to infer the existence of other planets, transiting or not, but to characterize a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-24 Chris Fox , Paul Wiegert

We present a preliminary analysis of the sensitivity of Anglo-Australian Planet Search data to the orbital parameters of extrasolar planets. To do so, we have developed new tools for the automatic analysis of large-scale simulations of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 S. J. O'Toole , C. G. Tinney , H. R. A. Jones , R. P. Butler , G. W. Marcy , B. Carter , J. Bailey
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