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Combining distributions is an important issue in decision theory and Bayesian inference. Logarithmic pooling is a popular method to aggregate expert opinions by using a set of weights that reflect the reliability of each information source.…
In many real-world applications of machine learning classifiers, it is essential to predict the probability of an example belonging to a particular class. This paper proposes a simple technique for predicting probabilities based on…
We use a probabilistic method to produce some combinatorial inequalities by considering pattern containment in permutations and words.
The linear ordering problem (LOP), which consists in ordering M objects from their pairwise comparisons, is commonly applied in many areas of research. While efforts have been made to devise efficient LOP algorithms, verification of whether…
This paper studies theoretically and empirically a method of turning machine-learning algorithms into probabilistic predictors that automatically enjoys a property of validity (perfect calibration) and is computationally efficient. The…
We study the problem of linear feature selection when features are highly correlated. Such settings pose two fundamental challenges. First, how should model similarity be defined? Simply counting features in common can be misleading: two…
We propose probabilistic task modelling -- a generative probabilistic model for collections of tasks used in meta-learning. The proposed model combines variational auto-encoding and latent Dirichlet allocation to model each task as a…
Statistical topic models provide a general data-driven framework for automated discovery of high-level knowledge from large collections of text documents. While topic models can potentially discover a broad range of themes in a data set,…
For personalized ranking models, the well-calibrated probability of an item being preferred by a user has great practical value. While existing work shows promising results in image classification, probability calibration has not been much…
The major challenge in designing a discriminative learning algorithm for predicting structured data is to address the computational issues arising from the exponential size of the output space. Existing algorithms make different assumptions…
We study the connection between kappa calculus and probabilistic reasoning in diagnosis applications. Specifically, we abstract a probabilistic belief network for diagnosing faults into a kappa network and compare the ordering of faults…
The task of calibration is to retrospectively adjust the outputs from a machine learning model to provide better probability estimates on the target variable. While calibration has been investigated thoroughly in classification, it has not…
Massively multi-label prediction/classification problems arise in environments like health-care or biology where very precise predictions are useful. One challenge with massively multi-label problems is that there is often a long-tailed…
In probabilistic approaches to classification and information extraction, one typically builds a statistical model of words under the assumption that future data will exhibit the same regularities as the training data. In many data sets,…
Learning from Label Proportions (LLP) is an established machine learning problem with numerous real-world applications. In this setting, data items are grouped into bags, and the goal is to learn individual item labels, knowing only the…
This paper introduces a new Python package specifically designed to address calibration of probabilistic classifiers under dataset shift. The method is demonstrated in binary and multi-class settings and its effectiveness is measured…
A key task in multi-label classification is modeling the structure between the involved classes. Modeling this structure by probabilistic and interpretable means enables application in a broad variety of tasks such as zero-shot learning or…
An approach to the classification problem of machine learning, based on building local classification rules, is developed. The local rules are considered as projections of the global classification rules to the event we want to classify. A…
Sequence modeling with neural networks has lead to powerful models of symbolic music data. We address the problem of exploiting these models to reach creative musical goals, by combining with human input. To this end we generalise previous…
The ability to design and optimize biological sequences with specific functionalities would unlock enormous value in technology and healthcare. In recent years, machine learning-guided sequence design has progressed this goal significantly,…