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Predicting accurate probabilities with a ranking loss

Machine Learning 2012-06-22 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

In many real-world applications of machine learning classifiers, it is essential to predict the probability of an example belonging to a particular class. This paper proposes a simple technique for predicting probabilities based on optimizing a ranking loss, followed by isotonic regression. This semi-parametric technique offers both good ranking and regression performance, and models a richer set of probability distributions than statistical workhorses such as logistic regression. We provide experimental results that show the effectiveness of this technique on real-world applications of probability prediction.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1206.4661,
  title  = {Predicting accurate probabilities with a ranking loss},
  author = {Aditya Menon and Xiaoqian Jiang and Shankar Vembu and Charles Elkan and Lucila Ohno-Machado},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1206.4661},
  year   = {2012}
}

Comments

ICML2012

R2 v1 2026-06-21T21:22:51.751Z