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Different agents need to make a prediction. They observe identical data, but have different models: they predict using different explanatory variables. We study which agent believes they have the best predictive ability -- as measured by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-01 Jose Luis Montiel Olea , Pietro Ortoleva , Mallesh M Pai , Andrea Prat

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

In the natural world, life has found innumerable ways to survive and often thrive. Between and even within species, each individual is in some manner unique, and this diversity lends adaptability and robustness to life. In this work, we aim…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Kenneth Derek , Phillip Isola

A co-evolving and adaptive Rock (R)-Paper (P)-Scissors (S) game (ARPS) in which an agent uses one of three cyclically dominating strategies is proposed and studied numerically and analytically. An agent takes adaptive actions to achieve a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-12 Chi Wun Choi , Chen Xu , Pak Ming Hui

We propose a simple model that describes the dynamics of efficiencies of competing agents. Agents communicate leading to increase of efficiencies of underachievers, and an efficiency of each agent can increase or decrease irrespectively of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. N. Majumdar , P. L. Krapivsky

Competition for a limited resource is the hallmark of many complex systems, and often, that resource turns out to be the physical space itself. In this work, we study a novel model designed to elucidate the dynamics and emergence in complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-18 Ann Mary Mathew , V Sasidevan

When consequential decisions are informed by algorithmic input, individuals may feel compelled to alter their behavior in order to gain a system's approval. Models of agent responsiveness, termed "strategic manipulation," analyze the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Lily Hu , Nicole Immorlica , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

We use the Minority Game and some of its variants to show how efficiency depends on learning in models of agents competing for limited resources. Exact results from statistical physics give a clear understanding of the phenomenology, and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet

This study proposes a distributed algorithm that makes agents' adaptive grouping entrap multiple targets via automatic decision making, smooth flocking, and well-distributed entrapping. Agents make their own decisions about which targets to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Chen Wang , Minqiang Gu , Wenxi Kuang , Dongliang Wang , Weicheng Luo , Zhaohui Shi , Zhun Fan

We present results for the so-called `bar-attendance' model of market behavior: $p$ adaptive agents, each possessing $n$ prediction rules chosen randomly from a pool, attempt to attend a bar whose cut-off is $s$. The global attendance…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 N. F. Johnson , S. Jarvis , R. Jonson , P. Cheung , Y. R. Kwong , P. M. Hui

We study a version of the minority game in which one agent is allowed to join the game in a random fashion. It is shown that in the crowded regime, i.e., for small values of the memory size $m$ of the agents in the population, the agent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 K. F. Yip , T. S. Lo , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

In this work we study spin-glass (SG) like behavior in the dynamics of multiple agents in a social or economic context using interactions which are similar to the physical case. The different preferences shown by individual agents are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Fariel Shafee

In this work the properties of minority games containing agents which try to winning all the time are studied by means of computational simulations. We have considered several ways of introducing above the rules clever players using…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 J. R. L. de Almeida , J. Menche

We study a model of a competing population of N adaptive agents, with similar capabilities, repeatedly deciding whether to attend a bar with an arbitrary cutoff L. Decisions are based upon past outcomes. The agents are only told whether the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 N. F. Johnson , P. M. Hui , Dafang Zheng , C. W. Tai

Using the minority game as a model for competition dynamics, we investigate the effects of inter-agent communications on the global evolution of the dynamics of a society characterized by competition for limited resources. The agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Anghel , Zoltan Toroczkai , Kevin E. Bassler , G. Korniss

We present a theory which describes a recently introduced model of an evolving, adaptive system in which agents compete to be in the minority. The agents themselves are able to evolve their strategies over time in an attempt to improve…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 T. S. Lo , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

Adaptive networks consist of a collection of agents with adaptation and learning abilities. The agents interact with each other on a local level and diffuse information across the network through their collaborations. In this work, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-04 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed

As a schematic model of the complexity economic agents are confronted with, we introduce the ``SK-game'', a discrete time binary choice model inspired from mean-field spin-glasses. We show that even in a completely static environment,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-27 Jerome Garnier-Brun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The recent trend for acquiring big data assumes that possessing quantitatively more and qualitatively finer data necessarily provides an advantage that may be critical in competitive situations. Using a model complex adaptive system where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-15 V. Sasidevan , Appilineni Kushal , Sitabhra Sinha

We present detailed numerical results for a modified form of the so-called Minority Game, which provides a simplified model of a competitive market. Each agent has a limited set of strategies, and competes to be in a minority. An…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 T. S. Lo , S. W. Lim , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson