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Influence maximization (IM) aims to select a small number of nodes that are able to maximize their influence in a network and covers a wide range of applications. Despite numerous attempts to provide effective solutions in ordinary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-25 Ming Xie , Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Zi-Ke Zhang

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

Temporal networks are characterised by interdependent link events between nodes, forming ordered sequences of links that may represent specific information flows in the system. Nevertheless, representing temporal networks using discrete…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Yuwei Zhu , Paolo Barucca

Modeling temporal multimodal data poses significant challenges in classification tasks, particularly in capturing long-range temporal dependencies and intricate cross-modal interactions. Audiovisual data, as a representative example, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Feng Xu , Hui Wang , Yuting Huang , Danwei Zhang , Zizhu Fan

Classic estimation methods for Hawkes processes rely on the assumption that observed event times are indeed a realisation of a Hawkes process, without considering any potential perturbation of the model. However, in practice, observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Anna Bonnet , Felix Cheysson , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier

Several data-driven approaches based on information theory have been proposed for analyzing high-order interactions involving three or more components of a network system. Most of these methods are defined only in the time domain and rely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yuri Antonacci , Chiara Bara' , Laura Sparacino , Gorana Mijatovic , Ludovico Minati , Luca Faes

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

This paper studies nonparametric estimation of parameters of multivariate Hawkes processes. We consider the Bayesian setting and derive posterior concentration rates. First rates are derived for L1-metrics for stochastic intensities of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

Both Hawkes processes and autoregressive processes rely on linear functionals of their past, while modeling different types of data. Since datasets arising from observations of the same phenomenon may be heterogeneous and sampled at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Théo Leblanc

Many modern spatio-temporal data sets, in sociology, epidemiology or seismology, for example, exhibit self-exciting characteristics, triggering and clustering behaviors both at the same time, that a suitable Hawkes space-time process can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Emilia Siviero , Guillaume Staerman , Stephan Clémençon , Thomas Moreau

Human-Object Interaction (HOI) detection devotes to learn how humans interact with surrounding objects via inferring triplets of < human, verb, object >. However, recent HOI detection methods mostly rely on additional annotations (e.g.,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Dongming Yang , Yuexian Zou

This paper proposes a new meta-learning method -- named HARMLESS (HAwkes Relational Meta LEarning method for Short Sequences) for learning heterogeneous point process models from short event sequence data along with a relational network.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Yujia Xie , Haoming Jiang , Feng Liu , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

We study the effect of structured higher-order interactions on the collective behavior of coupled phase oscillators. By combining a hypergraph generative model with dimensionality reduction techniques, we obtain a reduced system of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-14 Sabina Adhikari , Juan G. Restrepo , Per Sebastian Skardal

Understanding relations arising out of interactions among entities can be very difficult, and predicting them is even more challenging. This problem has many applications in various fields, such as financial networks and e-commerce. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Tony Gracious , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

In complex social systems encoded as hypergraphs, higher-order (i.e., group) interactions taking place among more than two individuals are represented by hyperedges. One of the higher-order correlation structures native to hypergraphs is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-07 Jihye Kim , Deok-Sun Lee , Kwang-Il Goh

In many application settings involving networks, such as messages between users of an on-line social network or transactions between traders in financial markets, the observed data consist of timestamped relational events, which form a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Makan Arastuie , Subhadeep Paul , Kevin S. Xu

Given a stationary point process, an intensity burst is defined as a short time period during which the number of counts is larger than the typical count rate. It might signal a local non-stationarity or the presence of an external…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-04 Marcello Rambaldi , Vladimir Filimonov , Fabrizio Lillo

Temporal knowledge graph (TKG) reasoning has become a hot topic due to its great value in many practical tasks. The key to TKG reasoning is modeling the structural information and evolutional patterns of the TKGs. While great efforts have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yuwei Du , Xinyue Liu , Wenxin Liang , Linlin Zong , Xianchao Zhang