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The organization of higher-order interactions plays a central role in shaping collective dynamics, yet a general structural principle governing contagion on hypergraphs remains lacking. Here we introduce a nesting coefficient that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-28 Hugo P. Maia , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Silvio C. Ferreira , Yamir Moreno

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs), especially Hawkes Process are commonly used for modeling asynchronous event sequences data such as financial transactions and user behaviors in social networks. Due to the strong fitting ability of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Anningzhe Gao , Shan Dai

Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Zichong Li , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

We consider a population of Hawkes processes modeling the activity of $N$ interacting neurons. The neurons are regularly positioned on the segment $[0,1]$, and the connectivity between neurons is given by a random possibly diluted and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Zoé Agathe-Nerine

A social interaction (so-called higher-order event/interaction) can be regarded as the activation of the hyperlink among the corresponding individuals. Social interactions can be, thus, represented as higher-order temporal networks, that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-12 H. A. Bart Peters , Alberto Ceria , Huijuan Wang

There is often latent network structure in spatial and temporal data and the tools of network analysis can yield fascinating insights into such data. In this paper, we develop a nonparametric method for network reconstruction from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Baichuan Yuan , Hao Li , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , Mason A. Porter

Human behavior drives a range of complex social, urban, and economic systems, yet understanding its structure and dynamics at the individual level remains an open question. From credit card transactions to communications data, human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Sharon Xu , Steven Morse , Marta C. González

We introduce a nonlinear modification of the classical Hawkes process, which allows inhibitory couplings between units without restrictions. The resulting system of interacting point processes provides a useful mathematical model for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 Stefano Cardanobile , Stefan Rotter

Communication load is a limiting factor in many real-time systems. Event-triggered state estimation and event-triggered learning methods reduce network communication by sending information only when it cannot be adequately predicted based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Jonas Beuchert , Friedrich Solowjow , Jörg Raisch , Sebastian Trimpe , Thomas Seel

Identifying key influencers from time series data without a known prior network structure is a challenging problem in various applications, from crime analysis to social media. While much work has focused on event-based time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Martin Short , David J. B. Lloyd

We consider the learning of multi-agent Hawkes processes, a model containing multiple Hawkes processes with shared endogenous impact functions and different exogenous intensities. In the framework of stochastic maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Hongteng Xu , Xu Chen , Lawrence Carin

Temporal hypergraphs provide a powerful paradigm for modeling time-dependent, higher-order interactions in complex systems. Representation learning for hypergraphs is essential for extracting patterns of the higher-order interactions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Ali Behrouz , Farnoosh Hashemi , Sadaf Sadeghian , Margo Seltzer

Multivariate Hawkes processes (MHP) are a class of point processes in which events at different coordinates interact through mutual excitation. The weighted adjacency matrix of the MHP encodes the strength of the relations, and shares its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Antoine Lotz

Hypergraphs provide a principled framework for modeling polyadic interactions, with applications in recommendation systems, social networks, and molecular modeling. Hypergraph generation remains challenging because incidence structures are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Xinyi Hong , Shuntuo Xu , Zhou Yu

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

A point process for event arrivals in high frequency trading is presented. The intensity is the product of a Hawkes process and high dimensional functions of covariates derived from the order book. Conditions for stationarity of the process…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Luca Mucciante , Alessio Sancetta

Traditional functional connectivity based on functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) can only capture pairwise interactions between brain regions. Hypergraphs, which reveal high-order relationships among multiple brain regions, have…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-20 Wenqi Hu , Xuerui Su , Guanliang Li , Yidi Pan , Aijing Lin

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

This paper addresses nonparametric estimation of nonlinear multivariate Hawkes processes, where the interaction functions are assumed to lie in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Motivated by applications in neuroscience, the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-26 Anna Bonnet , Maxime Sangnier
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