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Hydroelectric power generation is a critical component of the global energy matrix, particularly in countries like Brazil, where it represents the majority of the energy supply. However, its strong dependence on river discharges, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

Regression analysis is an important instrument to determine the effect of the explanatory variables on response variables. When outliers and bias errors are present, the standard weighted least squares estimator may perform poorly. For this…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-11 Justo Puerto , Alberto Torrejon

The purpose of this paper is to introduce two semiparametric methods for the estimation of copula parameter. These methods are based on minimum Alpha-Divergence between a non-parametric estimation of copula density using local likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-10 Morteza Mohammadi , Mohammad Amini , Mahdi Emadi

Quantiles are useful characteristics of random variables that can provide substantial information on distributions compared with commonly used summary statistics such as means. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian quantile trend filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-23 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Penalization of the likelihood by Jeffreys' invariant prior, or by a positive power thereof, is shown to produce finite-valued maximum penalized likelihood estimates in a broad class of binomial generalized linear models. The class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Ioannis Kosmidis , David Firth

Hydrological post-processing using quantile regression algorithms constitutes a prime means of estimating the uncertainty of hydrological predictions. Nonetheless, conventional large-sample theory for quantile regression does not apply…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

In a regression model, prediction is typically performed after model selection. The large variability in the model selection makes the prediction unstable. Thus, it is essential to reduce the variability in model selection and improve…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

Recent works have proposed various explanations for the ability of modern large language models (LLMs) to perform in-context prediction. We propose an alternative conceptual viewpoint from an information-geometric and statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Sreejith Sreekumar , Nir Weinberger

A nonparametric model using a sequence of Bernstein polynomials is constructed to approximate arbitrary isotropic covariance functions valid in $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ and related approximation properties are investigated using the popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Yiming Wang , Sujit K. Ghosh

As computer resources become increasingly limited, traditional statistical methods face challenges in analyzing massive data, especially in functional data analysis. To address this issue, subsampling offers a viable solution by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Jingxiang Pan , Xiaohui Yuan , Xiaohui Yuan

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is a popular method for estimating the parameter posterior distribution for complex statistical models and stochastic processes that possess a computationally intractable likelihood function. Instead of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-26 Ziwen An , Leah F South , Christopher Drovandi

Machine and statistical learning algorithms can be reliably automated and applied at scale. Therefore, they can constitute a considerable asset for designing practical forecasting systems, such as those related to urban water demand.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

Semi-supervised learning by self-training heavily relies on pseudo-label selection (PLS). The selection often depends on the initial model fit on labeled data. Early overfitting might thus be propagated to the final model by selecting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Julian Rodemann , Jann Goschenhofer , Emilio Dorigatti , Thomas Nagler , Thomas Augustin

Proportional mean residual life model is studied for analysing survival data from the case-cohort design. To simultaneously estimate the regression parameters and the baseline mean residual life function, weighted estimating equations based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Huijuan Ma , Jianhua Shi , Yong Zhou

Quantile regression, a robust method for estimating conditional quantiles, has advanced significantly in fields such as econometrics, statistics, and machine learning. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariates exceeds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 The Tien Mai

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for learning the relationship between a response variable and a multivariate predictor while exploring heterogeneous effects. In this paper, we consider statistical inference for quantile regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Daryna Liubashenko , Rostyslav Maiboroda

This paper considers the quantile regression approach for partially linear spatial autoregressive models with possibly varying coefficients. B-spline is employed for the approximation of varying coefficients. The instrumental variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 Xiaowen Dai , Shaoyang Li , Maozai Tian

Supervised learning under measurement constraints is a common challenge in statistical and machine learning. In many applications, despite extensive design points, acquiring responses for all points is often impractical due to resource…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Lin Wang

Composite likelihoods are increasingly used in applications where the full likelihood is analytically unknown or computationally prohibitive. Although the maximum composite likelihood estimator has frequentist properties akin to those of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-08 Mathieu Ribatet , Daniel Cooley , Anthony C. Davison
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