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We propose a machine learning framework to accelerate numerical computations of time-dependent ODEs and PDEs. Our method is based on recasting (generalizations of) existing numerical methods as artificial neural networks, with a set of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Siddhartha Mishra

We develop interacting particle algorithms for learning latent variable models with energy-based priors. To do so, we leverage recent developments in particle-based methods for solving maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) problems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Joanna Marks , Tim Y. J. Wang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with high dimensionality are commonly encountered in computational physics and engineering. However, finding solutions for these PDEs can be computationally expensive, making model-order reduction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

In this paper we develop a novel, discrete-time optimal control framework for mechanical systems with uncertain model parameters. We consider finite-horizon problems where the performance index depends on the statistical moments of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-17 George I. Boutselis , Yunpeng Pan , Gerardo De La Tore , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The deployment of autonomous navigation systems on ships necessitates accurate motion prediction models tailored to individual vessels. Traditional physics-based models, while grounded in hydrodynamic principles, often fail to account for…

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Numerical resolution of high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs remains a huge challenge due to the curse of dimensionality. Starting from the weak formulation of the Lawson-Euler scheme, this paper proposes a stochastic particle method (SPM) by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Zhengyang Lei , Sihong Shao , Yunfeng Xiong

Adaptive time series forecasting is essential for prediction under regime changes. Several classical methods assume linear Gaussian state space model (LGSSM) with variances constant in time. However, there are many real-world processes that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-23 Baptiste Abélès , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintemberger

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

Generating high-quality time series data has emerged as a critical research topic due to its broad utility in supporting downstream time series mining tasks. A major challenge lies in modeling the intrinsic stochasticity of temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-20 He Panjing , Cheng Mingyue , Li Li , Zhang XiaoHan

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

At present, state-of-the-art forecasting models are short of the ability to capture spatio-temporal dependency and synthesize global information at the stage of learning. To address this issue, in this paper, through the adaptive fuzzified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Lijian Li

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

One of the challenges in model-based control of stochastic dynamical systems is that the state transition dynamics are involved, and it is not easy or efficient to make good-quality predictions of the states. Moreover, there are not many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Behnoosh Parsa , Keshav Rajasekaran , Franziska Meier , Ashis G. Banerjee

The transition density of a stochastic, logistic population growth model with multiplicative intrinsic noise is analytically intractable. Inferring model parameter values by fitting such stochastic differential equation (SDE) models to data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-17 Jonathan Heydari , Conor Lawless , David A. Lydall , Darren J. Wilkinson

Serverless computing eliminates infrastructure management overhead but introduces significant challenges regarding cold start latency and resource utilization. Traditional static resource allocation often leads to inefficiencies under…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Zeyu Wang , Cuiqianhe Du , Renyue Zhang , Kejian Tong , Qi He , Qiyuan Tian

We consider a non-linear filtering problem, whereby the signal obeys the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations and is observed through a linear mapping with additive noise. The setup is relevant to data assimilation for numerical weather…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-10 Francesc Pons Llopis , Nikolas Kantas , Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra