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Related papers: Generalized Evidential Deep Learning: From a Bayes…

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Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that evaluates recent SOTA methods on diverse, realistic, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Florian Seligmann , Philipp Becker , Michael Volpp , Gerhard Neumann

Deep ensembles can be considered as the current state-of-the-art for uncertainty quantification in deep learning. While the approach was originally proposed as a non-Bayesian technique, arguments supporting its Bayesian footing have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Lara Hoffmann , Clemens Elster

Weather forecasting is fundamentally challenged by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, necessitating probabilistic approaches to quantify uncertainty. While traditional ensemble prediction (EPS) addresses this through computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Xinlei Xiong , Wenbo Hu , Shuxun Zhou , Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Ying Liu , Richang Hong , Qi Tian

Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distribution shifts are important goals in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) allow for uncertainty in the predictions to be assessed,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Michele Caprio , Souradeep Dutta , Kuk Jin Jang , Vivian Lin , Radoslav Ivanov , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Deterministic neural nets have been shown to learn effective predictors on a wide range of machine learning problems. However, as the standard approach is to train the network to minimize a prediction loss, the resultant model remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Melih Kandemir

Reliable radar pulse classification is essential in Electromagnetic Warfare for situational awareness and decision support. Deep Neural Networks have shown strong performance in radar pulse and RF emitter recognition; however, on their own…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Mohamed Rabie , Chinthana Panagamuwa , Konstantinos G. Kyriakopoulos

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of…

Bayesian Deep Learning (BDL) gives access not only to aleatoric uncertainty, as standard neural networks already do, but also to epistemic uncertainty, a measure of confidence a model has in its own predictions. In this article, we show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Mohammed Fellaji , Frédéric Pennerath

Evidential deep learning, built upon belief theory and subjective logic, offers a principled and computationally efficient way to turn a deterministic neural network uncertainty-aware. The resultant evidential models can quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Deep Pandey , Qi Yu

Deep neural networks, despite their remarkable success, remain fundamentally limited in their ability to perform Continual Learning (CL). While most current methods aim to enhance the capabilities of a single model, Inspired by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Aojun Lu , Junchao Ke , Chunhui Ding , Jiahao Fan , Jiancheng Lv , Yanan Sun

Traditional deep neural nets (NNs) have shown the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification in various applications. However, NNs have not considered any types of uncertainty associated with the class probabilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Xujiang Zhao , Yuzhe Ou , Lance Kaplan , Feng Chen , Jin-Hee Cho

Despite the recent progress in medical image segmentation with scribble-based annotations, the segmentation results of most models are still not ro-bust and generalizable enough in open environments. Evidential deep learn-ing (EDL) has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yitong Yang , Xinli Xu , Haigen Hu , Haixia Long , Qianwei Zhou , Qiu Guan

Deep neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance in a wide range of recognition/classification tasks. However, when applying deep learning to real-world applications, there are still multiple challenges. A typical challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Xin Sun , Zhenning Yang , Chi Zhang , Guohao Peng , Keck-Voon Ling

The Evidential Regression Network (ERN) represents a novel approach that integrates deep learning with Dempster-Shafer's theory to predict a target and quantify the associated uncertainty. Guided by the underlying theory, specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kai Ye , Tiejin Chen , Hua Wei , Liang Zhan

We propose UAPAR, an Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Attribute Recognition framework. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first EDL-based uncertainty-aware framework for pedestrian attribute recognition (PAR). Unlike conventional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Zhuofan Lou , Shihang Zhang , Fangle Zhu , Shengjie Ye , Pingyu Wang

Uncertainty quantification of deep neural networks has become an active field of research and plays a crucial role in various downstream tasks such as active learning. Recent advances in evidential deep learning shed light on the direct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Ruxiao Duan , Brian Caffo , Harrison X. Bai , Haris I. Sair , Craig Jones

Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) enables single-pass uncertainty estimation by predicting Dirichlet evidence, but it can remain overconfident and poorly calibrated, and it often fails to represent multi-modal epistemic uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Marco Mustafa Mohammed , Fatemeh Daneshfar , Pietro Liò

Traditional deep neural networks (NNs) have significantly contributed to the state-of-the-art performance in the task of classification under various application domains. However, NNs have not considered inherent uncertainty in data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Yibo Hu , Yuzhe Ou , Xujiang Zhao , Jin-Hee Cho , Feng Chen

Understanding whether fine-tuning elicits latent capabilities or teaches new ones is a fundamental question for language model evaluation and safety. We develop a formal information-theoretic framework for quantifying how much predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Elizabeth Donoway , Hailey Joren , Fabien Roger , Jan Leike

Although current semi-supervised medical segmentation methods can achieve decent performance, they are still affected by the uncertainty in unlabeled data and model predictions, and there is currently a lack of effective strategies that can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Yuanpeng He