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Time-reversal symmetry, which requires that the dynamics of a system should not change with the reversal of time axis, is a fundamental property that frequently holds in classical and quantum mechanics. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 In Huh , Eunho Yang , Sung Ju Hwang , Jinwoo Shin

Modern graph representation learning works mostly under the assumption of dealing with regularly sampled temporal graph snapshots, which is far from realistic, e.g., social networks and physical systems are characterized by continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Alessio Gravina , Daniele Zambon , Davide Bacciu , Cesare Alippi

We propose a nonparametric test for serial independence that aggregates pairwise similarities of observations with lag-dependent weights. The resulting statistic is powerful to general forms of temporal dependence, including nonlinear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Qihua Zhu , Mingshuo Liu , Yuefeng Han , Doudou Zhou

As a new method for detecting change-points in high-resolution time series, we apply Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the distributions of ordinal patterns in different parts of a time series. The main advantage of this approach is its…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sinn , Ali Ghodsi , Karsten Keller

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

Measurements of systems taken along a continuous functional dimension, such as time or space, are ubiquitous in many fields, from the physical and biological sciences to economics and engineering.Such measurements can be viewed as…

Proximity gaps and correlated agreement have become central tools in the analysis of interactive oracle proofs of proximity (IOPPs) and code-based SNARKs. Informally, a proximity-gap statement says that for a structured set of words -- such…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Chen Yuan , Ruiqi Zhu

The problem of measuring conditional dependence between two random phenomena arises when a third one (a confounder) has a potential influence on the amount of information between them. A typical issue in this challenging problem is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ferran de Cabrera , Marc Vilà-Insa , Jaume Riba

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

A prescription is presented for a new and practical correlation coefficient, $\phi_K$, based on several refinements to Pearson's hypothesis test of independence of two variables. The combined features of $\phi_K$ form an advantage over…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 M. Baak , R. Koopman , H. Snoek , S. Klous

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

If an experimentalist observes a sequence of emitted quantum states via either projective or positive-operator-valued measurements, the outcomes form a time series. Individual time series are realizations of a stochastic process over the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-14 A. Venegas-Li , J. P. Crutchfield

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction intervals around our forecasts? To avoid placing distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rina Foygel Barber , Ashwin Pananjady

The previous decade has brought a remarkable increase of the interest in applications that deal with querying and mining of time series data. Many of the research efforts in this context have focused on introducing new representation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Xiaoyue Wang , Hui Ding , Goce Trajcevski , Peter Scheuermann , Eamonn Keogh

Time series similarity measures are highly relevant in a wide range of emerging applications including training machine learning models, classification, and predictive modeling. Standard similarity measures for time series most often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Lucas Cassiel Jacaruso

We propose a new estimator to measure directed dependencies in time series. The dimensionality of data is first reduced using a new non-uniform embedding technique, where the variables are ranked according to a weighted sum of the amount of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Payam Shahsavari Baboukani , Carina Graversen , Emina Alickovic , Jan Østergaard

Linear Response theory aims to predict how added forcing alters the statistical properties of an unforced system. These kinds of questions have been studied predominantly for autonomous dynamical systems, yet many systems in the physical,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Stefano Galatolo , Valerio Lucarini

This paper extends the class of ordinal regression models with a structured interpretation of the problem by applying a novel treatment of encoded labels. The net effect of this is to transform the underlying problem from an ordinal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Niall Twomey , Rafael Poyiadzi , Callum Mann , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez

We establish a definition of ordinal patterns for multivariate data sets based on the concept of Tukey's halfspace depth. Given the definition of these \emph{depth patterns}, we are interested in the probabilities of observing specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Annika Betken , Alexander Schnurr