Related papers: The Poisson Tail Conjecture for Primes in Short In…

Let $X_H$ be the number of copies of a fixed graph $H$ in $G(n,p)$. In 2016, Gilmer and Kopparty conjectured that a local central limit theorem should hold for $X_H$ as long as $H$ is connected, $p\gg n^{-1/m(H)}$ and $n^2(1-p)\gg 1$, where…

We derive new and improved non-asymptotic deviation inequalities for the sample average approximation (SAA) of an optimization problem. Our results give strong error probability bounds that are "sub-Gaussian"~even when the randomness of the…

Minkowski's First Theorem and Dirichlet's Approximation Theorem provide upper bounds on certain minima taken over lattice points contained in domains of Euclidean spaces. We study the distribution of such minima and show, under some…

We establish abstract limit theorems which provide sufficient conditions for a sequence $(A_{l})$ of rare events in an ergodic probability preserving dynamical system to exhibit Poisson asymptotics, and for the consecutive positions inside…

We consider the simple random walk on Galton-Watson trees with supercritical offspring distribution, conditioned on non-extinction. In case the offspring distribution has finite support, we prove an upper bound for the annealed return…

Due to the distribution of primes among integers, we establish an upper bound for the probability $\mathbb{P}_n$ that the Goldbach conjecture fails. Assuming the conjecture holds true for all even number less than $2N$, we prove this…

For any real $x$ and any integer $k\ge1$, we say that a set $\mathcal{D}_{k}$ of $k$ distinct integers is a $k$-tuple jumping champion if it is the most common differences that occurs among $k+1$ consecutive primes less than or equal to…

Pickands' constants $H_{\alpha}$ appear in various classical limit results about tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. It is an often quoted conjecture that perhaps $H_{\alpha} = 1/\Gamma(1/\alpha)$ for all $0 < \alpha \leq…

The goal of this paper is to describe an elementary combinatorial heuristic that predicts Hardy and Littlewood's extended Goldbach's conjecture. We examine common features of other heuristics in additive prime number theory, such as…

The Dvoretzky--Kiefer--Wolfowitz--Massart inequality gives a sub-Gaussian tail bound on the supremum norm distance between the empirical distribution function of a random sample and its population counterpart. We provide a short proof of a…

We introduce a method for showing that there exist prime numbers which are very close together. The method depends on the level of distribution of primes in arithmetic progressions. Assuming the Elliott-Halberstam conjecture, we prove that…

We prove that analogues of the Hardy-Littlewood generalised twin prime conjecture for almost primes hold on average. Our main theorem establishes an asymptotic formula for the number of integers $n=p_1p_2 \leq X$ such that $n+h$ is a…

``Behind every limit theorem, there is an inequality'' said Kolmogorov. We say ``for every inequality, there is an approximate inequality under approximate regularity conditions.'' Suppose $X, X'$ are independent and identically distributed…

The second Hardy-Littlewood conjecture, that $\pi(x)+\pi(y) \geq \pi(x+y)$ for integers $x$ and $y$ with $\min\{x,y\}\geq 2$, was formulated in 1923. It continues to attract attention to this day, almost 100 years later. In 1975 Udrescu…

This is a survey article on the Hardy-Littlewood conjecture about primes in quadratic progressions. We recount the history and quote some results approximating this hitherto unresolved conjecture.

Hoeffding has shown that tail bounds on the distribution for sampling from a finite population with replacement also apply to the corresponding cases of sampling without replacement. (A special case of this result is that binomial tail…

Let ${\cal T}$ be a rooted Galton-Watson tree with offspring distribution $\{p_k\}$ that has $p_0=0$, mean $m=\sum kp_k>1$ and exponential tails. Consider the $\lambda$-biased random walk $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ on ${\cal T}$; this is the…

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

The gaps in the sequence $\{\sqrt{n}\}$ were shown by Elkies-McMullen (2004) to have a limiting distribution which is not the exponential distribution. However it is conjectured that the distribution of gaps in the sequence…