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Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

In this article, we present a modification to the network-based stochastic SEIR epidemic model which allows for modifications to the underlying contact network to account for the effects of quarantine. We also discuss the changes needed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-05 Chris Groendyke , Adam Combs

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

Long-term adherence to medication is a critical factor in preventing chronic diseases, such as cardiovascular disease. To address poor adherence, physicians may recommend adherence-improving interventions; however, such interventions are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Daniel Otero-Leon , Mariel Lavieri , Brian Denton , Jeremy Sussman , Rodney Hayward

We investigate the containment of epidemic spreading in networks from a normative point of view. We consider a susceptible/infected model in which agents can invest in order to reduce the contagiousness of network links. In this setting, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-16 Geraldine Bouveret , Antoine Mandel

We present an epidemiological compartment model, SAIR(S), that explicitly captures the dynamics of asymptomatic infected individuals in an epidemic spread process. We first present a group model and then discuss networked versions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-23 Xiaoqi Bi , Carolyn L. Beck

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-26 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

We consider interacting population systems of predator-prey type, presenting four models of control strategies for epidemics among the prey. In particular to contain the transmissible disease, safety niches are considered, assuming they…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-04 Iulia Martina Bulai , Roberto Cavoretto , Bruna Chialva , Davide Duma , Ezio Venturino

We introduce a new method to efficiently approximate the number of infections resulting from a given initially-infected node in a network of susceptible individuals. Our approach is based on counting the number of possible infection walks…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-10-25 Frank Bauer , Joseph T. Lizier

Individuals who do not comply with public health safety measures pose a significant challenge to effective epidemic control, as their risky behaviours can undermine public health interventions. This is particularly relevant in urban…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-17 Fabio Mazza , Marco Brambilla , Carlo Piccardi , Francesco Pierri

We propose and study a compartmental model for epidemiology with human behavioral effects. Specifically, our model incorporates governmental prevention measures aimed at lowering the disease infection rate, but we split the population into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Chloe Ngo , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in adaptive networks of arbitrary topology. We focus our study on the adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) model, where healthy individuals are allowed to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We present and analyze an actively controlled Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (actSIS) model of interconnected populations to study how risk aversion strategies, such as social distancing, affect network epidemics. A population using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-18 Anastasia Bizyaeva , Marcela Ordorica Arango , Yunxiu Zhou , Simon Levin , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

We create a network model to study the spread of an epidemic through physically proximate and accidental daily human contacts in a city, and simulate outcomes for two kinds of agents - poor and non-poor. Under non-intervention, peak…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-27 Anand Sahasranaman , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

The role of cooperative effects (i.e. synergy) in transmission of infection is investigated analytically and numerically for epidemics following the rules of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on random regular graphs.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-03 Sergei N. Taraskin , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche

One of the most effective strategies to mitigate the global spreading of a pandemic (e.g., COVID-19) is to shut down international airports. From a network theory perspective, this is since international airports and flights, essentially…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-24 Jing Ma , Xiangyi Meng , Lidia A. Braunstein

During the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the causative pathogen of COVID-19. Among those NPIs, quarantine measures were…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-04 Renquan Zhang , Yu Wang , Zheng Lv , Sen Pei

Several models have been developed to predict how the COVID-19 pandemic spreads, and how it could be contained with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as social distancing restrictions and school and business closures. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Risto Miikkulainen , Olivier Francon , Elliot Meyerson , Xin Qiu , Elisa Canzani , Babak Hodjat