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Orthogonal polynomial approximations form the foundation to a set of well-established methods for uncertainty quantification known as polynomial chaos. These approximations deliver models for emulating physical systems in a variety of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Andrew B. Duncan , Ashley Scillitoe , Geoffrey Parks

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

Functional data are frequently accompanied by a parametric template that describes the typical shapes of the functions. However, these parametric templates can incur significant bias, which undermines both utility and interpretability. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Daniel R. Kowal , Antonio Canale

We give yet another example of the usefulness of working with marginals of multivariate Gibbs distributions (Cerquetti, 2013) in deriving Bayesian nonparametric estimators under Gibbs priors in species sampling problems. Here in particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-23 Annalisa Cerquetti

Amid rising concerns of reproducibility and generalizability in predictive modeling, we explore the possibility and potential benefits of introducing pre-registration to the field. Despite notable advancements in predictive modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Jake M. Hofman , Angelos Chatzimparmpas , Amit Sharma , Duncan J. Watts , Jessica Hullman

Nonparametric item response models provide a flexible framework in psychological and educational measurements. Douglas (2001) established asymptotic identifiability for a class of models with nonparametric response functions for long…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Yinqiu He

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are at the heart of many mathematical and scientific advances. While great progress has been made on the theory of PDEs of standard types during the last eight decades, the analysis of nonlinear PDEs of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Gui-Qiang G. Chen

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

In this paper, first, we survey the concept of diffeological Fisher metric and its naturality, using functorial language of probability morphisms, and slightly extending L\^e's theory in \cite{Le2020} to include weakly $C^k$-diffeological…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Hông Vân Lê , Alexey A. Tuzhilin

This is a brief review where some basic elements of non-commutative geometry are given. The rules and ingredients that enter in the construction of the standard model and grand unification models in non-commutative geometry are summarized.…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-03-10 A. H. Chamseddine

Due to their intuitive appeal, Bayesian methods of modeling and uncertainty quantification have become popular in modern machine and deep learning. When providing a prior distribution over the parameter space, it is straightforward to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Ivan Melev , Goeran Kauermann

The relationship between algebraic geometry and the inferential framework of the Bayesian Networks with hidden variables has now been fruitfully explored and exploited by a number of authors. More recently the algebraic formulation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-24 Eva Riccomagno , Jim Q Smith

When scientists study the phenomena they are interested in, they apply sound methods and base their work on theoretical considerations. In contrast, when the fruits of their research is being evaluated, basic scientific standards do not…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Lutz Bornmann , Sven Hug

Little effort has been devoted to studying generalised notions or models of (un)predictability, yet is an important concept throughout physics and plays a central role in quantum information theory, where key results rely on the supposed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-01-27 Alastair A. Abbott , Cristian S. Calude , Karl Svozil

In Bayesian machine learning, conjugate priors are popular, mostly due to mathematical convenience. In this paper, we show that there are deeper reasons for choosing a conjugate prior. Specifically, we formulate the conjugate prior in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-05-04 Arvind Agarwal , Hal Daume

Mathematical models connect theory with the real world through data, enabling us to interpret, understand, and predict complex phenomena. However, scientific knowledge often extends beyond what can be empirically measured, offering valuable…

We consider the problem of how decision making can be fair when the underlying probabilistic model of the world is not known with certainty. We argue that recent notions of fairness in machine learning need to explicitly incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Christos Dimitrakakis , Yang Liu , David Parkes , Goran Radanovic

This report is a collection of comments on the Read Paper of Fearnhead and Prangle (2011), to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, along with a reply from the authors.

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar